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Two in Five Americans Feel Less Secure Financially Compared to Last Year

Three-quarters of U.S. adults give President Obama negative ratings on his handling of the economy

Harris Poll Logo. (PRNewsFoto/Harris Interactive) (PRNewsFoto/)

News provided by

Harris Interactive

Jan 04, 2012, 11:48 ET

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NEW YORK, Jan. 4, 2012 /PRNewswire/ -- As the New Year dawns, it is a time when many look to the upcoming months full of optimism and hope. Unfortunately, when it comes to economic expectations this optimism may not be felt this year. When asked to compare to last year, just 14% of Americans say they feel more secure about their financial situation while two in five (41%) say they feel less secure and 41% say they feel the same as last year.  At the end of 2010, one in five U.S. adults (19%) said they felt more secure while 42% felt less secure; 36% felt the same as the previous year.

(Logo: http://photos.prnewswire.com/prnh/20100517/NY06256LOGO )

These are some of the results of The Harris Poll of 2,237 adults surveyed online between December 5 and 12, 2011 by Harris Interactive.

As this is an election year, it's interesting to see how these feelings of security, or lack of it, break down by political party. Over half of Republicans (55%) say they feel less secure while 7% say they feel more secure.  Democrats are slightly more optimistic about what the current year will hold as one in five (20%) feel more secure and 28% feel less secure; half (49%) of Democrats feel the same as last year. For Independents, over two in five (43%) feel less secure and 14% feel more secure.

A look at household finances
One in five Americans (19%) ended 2011 saying they expected their household's financial condition to be better in the next six months, half (53%) believe it will remain the same and 28% believe it will be worse. Last January, as 2011 dawned, over one-quarter (27%) believed their household's financial situation would be better in the coming six months, 27% believed it would be worse and under half (46%) believed it would be about the same.

Again, looking at political party, Republicans are more pessimistic than Democrats are about the coming six months. Just one in ten Republicans (9%) believes their household's financial condition will be better compared to 30% of Democrats. Among Independents, one-third (33%) believe the financial condition of their household will be worse in the next six months while 17% believe it will be better.

President Obama's handling of the economy
This year brings the presidential election and how people perceive President Obama's handling of the economy will have a large impact on how he does in November. As 2011 ended, one-quarter of Americans (25%) gave the President positive ratings on his handling of the economy while 75% gave him negative ratings. In November, 22% gave President Obama positive marks while 78% gave him negative ones.

So What?
In 1992, as Bill Clinton was running for election, his campaign came up with the one mantra they would use throughout the general election – "it's the economy, stupid." The thought was that people were hurting and as long as the campaign could show their candidate had answers to help, they would prevail.  They were right and it just proved something long known in politics – people vote with their wallets. This election will be more of the same and people are hurting. President Obama needs to shore up his economic approval number to have a chance of prevailing in the general election.

TABLE 1
PRESIDENT OBAMA'S JOB RATING ON THE ECONOMY - TREND
"Now, turning to something different, how would you rate the overall job that President Barack Obama is doing on the economy?"

Base: All adults

 

2009

March

April

May

June

Aug

Sept

Nov

Dec

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

POSITIVE (NET)

47

49

46

43

39

40

34

36

      Excellent

13

13

10

3

9

7

6

6

      Pretty good

34

36

36

34

31

33

27

30

NEGATIVE (NET)

53

51

54

57

61

60

66

64

      Only fair

30

27

30

27

25

27

30

30

      Poor

23

24

24

30

36

33

37

34

 

2010

Jan

Mar

Apr

May

June

Aug

Sept

Oct

Nov

Dec

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

POSITIVE (NET)

31

32

33

36

32

32

29

27

31

30

      Excellent

5

5

6

6

5

6

5

5

5

5

      Pretty good

25

27

27

30

27

26

24

22

26

25

NEGATIVE (NET)

69

68

67

64

68

68

71

73

69

70

      Only fair

31

30

31

29

32

29

31

33

30

34

      Poor

39

37

36

34

37

39

40

39

39

36

 

2011

Jan

Feb*

Mar

May

June

July

Sept.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

POSITIVE (NET)

33

33

33

32

27

26

21

23

22

25

      Excellent

7

9

5

7

5

3

2

3

3

4

      Pretty good

26

24

28

26

22

23

18

20

20

22

NEGATIVE (NET)

67

62

67

68

73

74

79

77

78

75

      Only fair

30

22

29

28

30

33

33

36

32

34

      Poor

37

39

38

40

43

41

46

41

46

41

Note: Percentages may not add up exactly to 100% due to rounding; *In February "Not at all sure" was offered as a response choice and 4% responded in that way.

TABLE 2
PRESIDENT OBAMA'S JOB RATING ON THE ECONOMY – BY POLITICAL PARTY
"Now, turning to something different, how would you rate the overall job that President Barack Obama is doing on the economy?"

Base: All adults

 

Total

Political Party

Philosophy

Rep.

Dem.

Ind.

Cons.

Mod.

Lib.

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

POSITIVE (NET)

25

3

48

23

9

28

42

      Excellent

4

*

7

2

1

4

6

      Pretty good

22

3

40

21

8

24

36

NEGATIVE (NET)

75

97

52

77

91

72

58

      Only fair

34

19

41

36

18

39

44

      Poor

41

77

11

41

73

33

14

Note: Percentages may not add up exactly to 100% due to rounding; * indicates less than .05%

TABLE 3
FINANCIAL SECURITY
"Compared to last year, how secure do you feel about your financial situation?"

Base: All adults

 

Total

Political Affiliation

Generation

Rep.

Dem.

Ind.

Echo Boomers

(18-34)

Gen. X

(35-46)

Baby Boomers

(47-65)

Matures

(66+)

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

MORE SECURE (NET)

14

7

20

14

17

15

15

8

   Much more secure

3

1

5

2

4

2

2

2

   Somewhat more secure

12

7

16

12

13

13

12

6

Same as last year

41

35

49

39

41

45

39

39

LESS SECURE (NET)

41

55

28

43

34

37

45

52

   Somewhat less secure

21

28

16

21

19

20

21

28

   Much less secure

20

27

12

23

15

17

25

25

Not sure

3

3

2

3

8

2

1

*

Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding

Note: * indicates less than 0.5%

TABLE 4
FINANCIAL SECURITY - TREND
"Compared to last year, how secure do you feel about your financial situation?"

Base: All adults

 

2008

2009

2010

2011

%

%

%

%

MORE SECURE (NET)

21

12

19

14

   Much more secure

4

3

5

3

   Somewhat more secure

17

9

14

12

Same as last year

34

30

36

41

LESS SECURE (NET)

38

56

42

41

   Somewhat less secure

24

33

23

21

   Much less secure

14

23

20

20

Not sure

7

3

2

3

Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding

TABLE 5
PERSONAL FINANCIAL EXPECTATIONS FOR THE NEXT 6 MONTHS - TREND
"Thinking about your household's financial condition, do you expect it to be better or worse in the next 6 months?"

Base: All adults

 

2008

2009

Feb

Mar

June

Nov

Jan

Mar

April

May

June

Aug

Sept

Oct

Nov

Dec

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

BETTER (NET)

39

33

40

24

20

20

23

25

21

24

23

23

18

19

Will remain the same

28

28

25

43

48

46

46

45

45

48

48

45

47

48

WORSE (NET)

34

39

36

33

32

35

31

30

33

28

29

31

35

33

 

2010

2011

Jan

Mar

April

May

June

Aug

Sept

Oct

Jan

Dec

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

BETTER (NET)

21

21

22

25

21

22

22

22

27

19

Will remain the same

49

47

50

47

52

52

50

49

46

53

WORSE (NET)

30

32

29

28

27

26

28

29

27

28

Note: Percentages may not add up exactly to 100% due to rounding.

TABLE 6
PERSONAL FINANCIAL EXPECTATIONS FOR THE NEXT 6 MONTHS – BY GENERATION AND POLITICAL PARTY
"Thinking about your household's financial condition, do you expect it to be better or worse in the next 6 months?"

Base: All adults

 

Total

Generation

Political Party

Echo

Boomers

(18-34)

Gen X

(35-46)

Baby

Boomers

(47-65)

Matures

(66+)

Rep.

Dem.

Ind.

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

BETTER (NET)

19

21

20

19

12

9

30

17

  Will be much better

4

4

6

3

2

1

5

4

  Will be somewhat better

15

17

15

16

10

8

24

13

Will remain the same

53

60

56

46

50

55

53

50

WORSE (NET)

28

18

24

35

37

36

17

33

  Will be somewhat worse

20

13

16

23

29

28

11

23

  Will be much worse

8

5

7

11

8

8

6

10

Note: Percentages may not add up exactly to 100% due to rounding.

Methodology
This Harris Poll was conducted online within the United States between December 5 and 12, 2011 among 2,237 adults (aged 18 and over). Figures for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, region and household income were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents' propensity to be online.

All sample surveys and polls, whether or not they use probability sampling, are subject to multiple sources of error which are most often not possible to quantify or estimate, including sampling error, coverage error, error associated with nonresponse, error associated with question wording and response options, and post-survey weighting and adjustments. Therefore, Harris Interactive avoids the words "margin of error" as they are misleading. All that can be calculated are different possible sampling errors with different probabilities for pure, unweighted, random samples with 100% response rates. These are only theoretical because no published polls come close to this ideal.

Respondents for this survey were selected from among those who have agreed to participate in Harris Interactive surveys. The data have been weighted to reflect the composition of the adult population. Because the sample is based on those who agreed to participate in the Harris Interactive panel, no estimates of theoretical sampling error can be calculated.

These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

The results of this Harris Poll may not be used in advertising, marketing or promotion without the prior written permission of Harris Interactive.

J40990
Q705, 710, 713

The Harris Poll® #1, January 4, 2012
By Regina A. Corso, SVP, Harris Poll, Public Relations and Youth Research, Harris Interactive

About Harris Interactive
Harris Interactive is one of the world's leading custom market research firms, leveraging research, technology, and business acumen to transform relevant insight into actionable foresight. Known widely for the Harris Poll and for pioneering innovative research methodologies, Harris offers expertise in a wide range of industries including healthcare, technology, public affairs, energy, telecommunications, financial services, insurance, media, retail, restaurant, and consumer package goods. Serving clients in over 215 countries and territories through our North American and European offices and a network of independent market research firms, Harris specializes in delivering research solutions that help us – and our clients – stay ahead of what's next. For more information, please visit www.harrisinteractive.com.

Press Contact:
Corporate Communications
Harris Interactive
212-539-9600
[email protected]

SOURCE Harris Interactive

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