The One Thing Every Gold Investor Needs Know
FN Media Group Presents Oilprice.com Market Commentary
LONDON, Nov. 8, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- Trump knows the economy is the key to re-election in 2020. And he's done something no other president in recent history has done. He attacked the Fed. over and over again in a series of supercharged tweets. Mentioned in today's commentary includes: Eldorado (NYSE: EGO), Yamana (NYSE: AUY), Agnico Eagle Mines (NYSE: AEM), Wheaton Precious Metals (NYSE: WPM) (TSX: WPM), First Majestic Silver (NYSE: AG).
In fact, he's put so much pressure on the Fed that they're beginning to cave. Though rates haven't hit zero just yet. The Fed has announced two cuts despite a previously hawkish stance. But that's only the tip of Trump's Twitter influence.
From his trade war talks to his political tirades, markets listen. And gold markets are no different.
Actually, it may be even more likely to move as a result of Trump's influence. Gold has soared this year. And some experts believe it is likely to go even higher as trade tensions mount and worries of a global slowdown continue to fester. But one small company is prepared not just to weather the storm but to ride the wave of the looming gold boom.
That's because it has everything going for it. Europe's second largest gold mine, a team that always overperforms. And a history of success.
The company's stock, according to Cantor Fitzgerald, "is inexpensive by any and all metrics." That's right. It's a valued so low because few people -- yet -- have heard the story of Euro Sun Mining Inc. (ESM, CPNFF).
Based at their mine in Rovina, Romania, Euro Sun has an estimated 400 million tons of ore, with billions of dollars' worth of gold and copper locked inside.
Cantor Fitz thinks they are undervalued by 500% and GMP Research predicts a 671% gain.
With such a huge find ready for the taking, this could be the gold story of 2019. Plus, any small move on the gold market could accelerate the company's rise from 5x to 10x to even 30x its current market cap.
Here are five reasons investors should not miss out on the biggest gold story of 2019:
#1 Re-Discovered $13 Billion Romanian Treasure
Euro Sun (ESM, CPNFF) has captured an asset of immense value: a Romanian gold mine that was first proven one hundred years ago. The Ancient Romans excavated $16.8 billion in gold at today's prices from this area of Romania, minting coins that were scattered across an empire 11 million square miles in size.
Modern research indicates that Europe still has billions in gold locked away, with hundreds of mines sitting around just waiting for re-activation.
The problem? Acquiring permits can be labor-intensive and sometimes impossible, thanks to EU regulation. Back when permits were available, Barrick Gold, the world's most valuable gold miner, got in on the action: the company pumped in $20 million to develop Rovina.
Now Rovina is owned by Euro Sun and Euro Sun has done the impossible... it just got its hands on a mining permit.
The Rovina mine has been classified as a "highly scalable" asset, with an immense growth potential, according to Cantor Fitzgerald. Mines like Rovina are hard to come by, even though the area is rich in ore. And Euro Sun (ESM, CPNFF) has gotten around its toughest problem – acquiring the licenses it needs to start developing Rovina's full potential.
The mining license from the Romanian government was approved in November 2018 – the first license to have been given out since 2003.
A resource statement from 2019 offers a view of the potential riches: 400 million tons of ore in three bodies, roughly 7.1 million ounces of gold and a billion and a half pounds of copper, or 10.1 million ounces of gold equivalent.
In February 2019, Euro Sun completed its Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA) for Rovina. The mine looks ready to produce an average gold equivalent of 139,000 ounces over twelve years. All told, the company is looking at $9.3 billion in gold and $4 billion in copper… a total haul of $13.3 billion.
Based on the company's current market cap, the upside potential here is incredible. Any small move in gold will soon bring this story to the front page.
#2 When Gold Moves a Little, Little Miners Move Hundreds of Percent
Analysts are optimistic that prices should continue to climb, potentially exceeding $1400/ounce, due to declining gold stores. Right now, gold stocks are trading cheap, as they have been since January. But one thing that Wall Street often forgets, is how explosive gold-stock upside is when gold moves higher. And, when gold goes up, gold companies tend to do very, very well.
Every 1% move in gold can send a small miner up 10% or more... And a 10% move can send a small miner up 100% or more. Back in 2016, gold prices jumped 26% in 6 months… and gold miner returns were stellar:
Mid cap miners such as Endeavour Mining Corp gained 196% in 6 months, while its Ontario based competitor IAMGold gained 256% in that same timeframe.
but some of the real winners were the shareholders of small cap miners.
Argonaut Gold's share price jumped 298% in 6 months, and its peer Great Panther Mining saw its share price even jump by a whopping 340% in no more than 4 months after it reported a 19% in gold production.
Companies like Euro Sun (ESM, CPNFF) could start selling at a premium. And when gold goes up, little companies like Euro Sun often go up multiples higher. But this story gets even better. There's a bigger -- nearby -- catalyst.
#3 Other Miners Are Feeling The Upside
While junior miners have the most exciting upside potential, Wall Street would be smart to keep an eye on some of the industry's growing stars.
Take Wheaton Precious Metals (NYSE:WPM) (TSX:WPM), for example. Massive and well-established, Wheaton has a hand in operations around the globe and a secure position as one of the largest 'streaming' companies on the planet. Wheaton has earned an impressive 33 percent gain in its stock price this year thanks to the renewed interest in gold and its strategic positioning in the market.
Yamana (NYSE:AUY), for example. As gold climbed by just 16%, Yamana soared by 46%. The company plans to ramp up its gold production by 20% through 2019 and its silver production by a whopping 200%. Markets can expect a serious increase in free cash flow if precious metal prices remain stable.
Like Yamana and Kinross, Agnico Eagle Mines (NYSE:AEM), markets are taking advantage of long-term price movements. Though the company joins a long list of gold majors that reported losses in 2018, it's seen an impressive 51% climb in its share price this year.
While it's primary focus remains on silver mining, First Majestic Silver (NYSE:AG) does hold a number of gold assets, as well. Additionally, silver tends to follow gold's lead when wider markets begin to look shaky. This helped First Majestic see a mind-blowing gain of 79% as markets started pouring into safe haven assets.
But nothing compares to Eldorado (NYSE:EGO). In 2018, Eldorado produced over 349,000 ounces of gold, well above its previous expectations, and is set to boost production even further in 2019. Additionally, Eldorado has increased its cash flow and revenue, allowing it to see an unfathomable 170% gain!
#4 "Undervalued by 218%" -- Cantor Fitzgerald "355% Gain" -- GMP Research
In 2016, GMP declared Euro Sun the "new old kid on the block," declaring the company had 10 MILLION OUNCES in gold equivalent waiting to be dug up. And the numbers look even better now than they did two years ago.
At current prices, Euro Sun could realize $550 in profit per ounce… resulting in total revenue of $5.5 billion from Rovina alone.
It's no wonder that GMP noted Rovina has "robust economics and upside…If another ounce is never found, Euro Sun already owns a potentially extremely robust project."
Cantor Fitzgerald agrees with GMP's estimate. Cantor Fitzgerald completed its own estimate in early 2019.
The deposit at Rovina "carries strong economics on a standalone basis." The only thing holding Euro Sun back is the fact this is happening in a small company far away from the lights of Wall Street. And now all they need is the capital to take Rovina to the next level…and turn it into one of the largest gold mines in Europe.
At the time of writing, Cantor Fitz thinks they are undervalued by 218% and GMP Research predicts a 355% gain.
#5 The 2nd Biggest Gold Mine in Europe Could Soon 30X
When gold moves a little, miners like Euro Sun can move A LOT. And the company has already received positive attention. Barrick, the world's largest gold miner, once invested $20 million into the Rovina mine. The asset has been developed and has fallen into Euro Sun's lap. Now all it needs to do is exploit it.
Cantor Fitzgerald puts Euro Sun's short-term target at $2.10. That's a 218% increase from its current price. And GMP goes even further: they reckon Euro Sun is worth $3.00, an increase of 355%. This is a company with a phenomenal upside.
It's got a fully-licensed gold mine in Romania, the only one of its kind, that could be the biggest gold mine in Europe… an asset potentially worth $10.1 billion. And that's if prices stay where they are! If gold edges above $1400/ounce, profits from Rovina could be even higher.
If China comes calling, Euro Sun (ESM, CPNFF) stock could be worth 5x or 6x what it is now.
By. Alexander Stebbing
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