The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.K. Increased in April

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Jun 13, 2014, 05:00 ET

BRUSSELS, June 13, 2014 /PRNewswire/ --The Conference Board Leading Economic Index^® (LEI) for the U.K. increased 0.5 percent in April, after increasing 0.3 percent in both March and February. Six of the seven components made positive contributions to the index this month. The index now stands at 110.7 (2004=100).

"Despite April's increase in the LEI for the UK, the rise in the index has moderated over the past several months, suggesting that a further acceleration of GDP growth is unlikely in the near term," said Bert Colijn, senior economist at The Conference Board. "However, the ongoing improvements in the labor market are helping to boost consumer confidence, which should allow the UK economy to continue to outperform its Euro Area counterparts in the months ahead."

The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index^® (CEI) for the U.K., a measure of current economic activity, increased 0.2 percent in April, after increasing 0.2 percent in both March and February. The index now stands at 106.8 (2004 = 100).

The Conference Board LEI for the U.K. aggregates seven economic indicators that measure activity in the U.K., each of which has proven accurate on its own. Aggregating individual indicators into a composite index filters out so-called "noise" to show underlying trends more clearly.

The seven components of The Conference Board Leading Economic Index^® (LEI) for the U.K. include:

Order Book Volume (source: Confederation of British Industry)
Volume of Expected Output (source: Confederation of British Industry)
Consumer Confidence Indicator (source: European Commission)
FTSE All-Share Index (source: FTSE Group)
Yield Spread (source: Bank of England)
Productivity, Whole Economy (Office for National Statistics)
Total Gross Operating Surplus of Corporations (Office for National Statistics)

Plotted back to 1970, this index has successfully signaled turning points in the U.K. business cycles. The Conference Board currently produces leading economic indexes for the Euro Area and eleven other countries, including Australia, Brazil, China, France, Germany, India, Japan, Korea, Mexico, Spain and the U.S.

To view The Conference Board calendar of 2014 indicator releases: http://www.conference-board.org/data/

For more information: http://www.conference-board.org/data/bci.cfm

For full press release: http://www.conference-board.org/data/bcicountry.cfm?cid=2

About The Conference Board
The Conference Board is an independent business membership and research association working in the public interest. Our mission is unique: To provide the world's leading organizations with the practical knowledge they need to improve their performance and better serve society. The Conference Board is a non-advocacy, not-for-profit entity holding 501 (c) (3) tax-exempt status in the United States. www.conference-board.org.

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Summary Table of Composite Economic Indexes
	2014						6-month
	Feb		Mar		Apr		Oct to Apr

Leading Economic Index (LEI)	109.8	p	110.1	p	110.7	p
Percent Change	0.3	p	0.3	p	0.5	p	2.4	p
Diffusion	71.4		71.4		85.7		100.0

Coincident Economic Index (CEI)	106.4	p	106.6	p	106.8	p
Percent Change	0.2	p	0.2	p	0.2	p	1.2	p
Diffusion	100.0		100.0		100.0		100.0

n.a. Not available p Preliminary r Revised
Indexes equal 100 in 2004
Source: The Conference Board All Rights Reserved