The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Korea Remains Unchanged

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Dec 07, 2011, 08:00 ET

NEW YORK, Dec. 7, 2011 /PRNewswire/ -- The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Korea was unchanged in October, remaining at 121.3 (2004 = 100), following a 0.7 percent decline in September, and a 0.4 percent increase in August.

At the same time, The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for Korea, a measure of current economic activity, increased 0.8 percent in October to 116.6 (2004 = 100), following a 0.8 percent decline in September, and a 0.3 percent increase in August.

The Conference Board LEI for Korea has been on a slight downward trend since mid-2011, and its six-month growth rate has remained negative in September and October. Meanwhile, the six month growth rate of The Conference Board CEI for Korea has been relatively stable so far this year. Taken together, the recent behavior of the composite indexes suggests that economic activity should continue growing, but at a more moderate rate, in the near term.

About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Korea

The composite economic indexes are the key elements in an analytic system designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle. The leading and coincident economic indexes are essentially composite averages of several individual leading or coincident indicators. They are constructed to summarize and reveal common turning point patterns in economic data in a clearer and more convincing manner than any individual component – primarily because they smooth out some of the volatility of individual components.

The seven components of The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for Korea include:

Stock Prices
Value of Machinery Orders
Letter of Credit Arrivals
Index of Shipments to Inventories
Export FOB
Yield of Government Public Bonds
Private Construction Orders

For more information including full press release and technical notes: http://www.conference-board.org/data/bcicountry.cfm?cid=6

For more information about The Conference Board global business cycle indicators: http://www.conference-board.org/data/bci.cfm

About The Conference Board

The Conference Board is an independent business membership and research association working in the public interest. Our mission is unique: To provide the world's leading organizations with the practical knowledge they need to improve their performance and better serve society. The Conference Board is a non-advocacy, not-for-profit entity holding 501 (c) (3) tax-exempt status in the United States. www.conference-board.org.

Next month's release will incorporate annual benchmark revisions to the composite indexes. These regular benchmark revisions bring the indexes up-to-date with revisions in the source data. The revisions do not change the cyclical properties of the indexes. The indexes are updated throughout the year, but only for the previous six months. Data revisions that fall outside of the moving six-month window are incorporated when the benchmark revision is made and the entire histories of the indexes are recomputed. As a result, the revised indexes and their month-over-month changes will no longer be directly comparable to those issued prior to the benchmark revision.

For more information, please visit our website at http://www.conference-board.org/data/bci.cfm or contact [email protected].

Summary Table of Composite Economic Indexes

	2011			6-month
	Aug	Sep	Oct	Apr to Oct

Leading Economic index (LEI)	122.2 r	121.3 r	121.3
Percent Change	0.4	-0.7	0.0	-0.6
Diffusion	85.7	28.6	42.9	57.1

Coincident Economic Index (CEI)	116.6 r	115.7 p	116.6 p
Percent Change	0.3	-0.8 p	0.8 p	1.4 p
Diffusion	62.5	25.0	100.0	100.0

n.a. Not available p Preliminary r Revised
Indexes equal 100 in 2004
Source: The Conference Board All Rights Reserved