The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Korea Declined

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Oct 13, 2015, 09:00 ET

NEW YORK, Oct. 13, 2015 /PRNewswire/ -- The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Korea declined 1.2 percent in August to 107.9 (2010 = 100), following a 0.3 percent decline in July, and a 0.2 percent decline in June.

At the same time, The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for Korea, a measure of current economic activity, increased 0.2 percent in August to 107.9 (2010 = 100), following a 0.4 percent increase in July, and a 0.2 percent increase in June.

The LEI for Korea decreased in August for the fourth consecutive month. As a result, its six-month growth rate has slipped into negative territory. Meanwhile, the CEI for Korea increased for the third consecutive month but its six-month growth rate has moderated. Taken together, the continued downward trend in the LEI and the moderation of the CEI growth points to increased downside risks to Korea's economic expansion in the near term.

About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index^®(LEI) for Korea

The composite economic indexes are the key elements in an analytic system designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle. The leading and coincident economic indexes are essentially composite averages of several individual leading or coincident indicators. They are constructed to summarize and reveal common turning point patterns in economic data in a clearer and more convincing manner than any individual component – primarily because they smooth out some of the volatility of individual components.

The six components of The Conference Board Leading Economic Index^® for Korea include:

Stock Prices
Value of Machinery Orders
Index of Inventories to Shipments
Export FOB
Yield of Government Public Bonds
Private Construction Orders

For more information including full press release and technical notes:
http://www.conference-board.org/data/bcicountry.cfm?cid=6

For more information about The Conference Board global business cycle indicators: http://www.conference-board.org/data/bci.cfm

About The Conference Board

The Conference Board is an independent business membership and research association working in the public interest. Our mission is unique: To provide the world's leading organizations with the practical knowledge they need to improve their performance and better serve society. The Conference Board is a non-advocacy, not-for-profit entity holding 501 (c) (3) tax-exempt status in the United States. www.conference-board.org.

Summary Table of Composite Economic Indexes
	2015						6-month
	Jun		Jul		Aug		Feb to Aug

Leading Economic Index (LEI)	109.5	r	109.2	r	107.9
Percent Change	-0.2		-0.3		-1.2		-0.1
Diffusion	41.7		25.0		16.7		50.0

Coincident Economic Index (CEI)	107.3	p	107.7	p	107.9	p
Percent Change	0.2	p	0.4	p	0.2	p	0.1	p
Diffusion	75.0		75.0		100.0		37.5

n.a. Not available p Preliminary r Revised
Indexes equal 100 in 2010
Source: The Conference Board All Rights Reserved