Starboard Reports 6.3% Ownership in Wausau Paper
Delivers Letter to CEO and Board of Directors
States that the Company is Deeply Undervalued and that Opportunities Exist to Significantly Improve Shareholder Value
Cites Significant Underperformance of the Company's Paper Business and Questions Large-Scale, Capital-Intensive Expansion of Tissue Business
NEW YORK, July 28, 2011 /PRNewswire/ -- Starboard Value LP (together with its affiliates, "Starboard"), today reported a 6.3% ownership stake in Wausau Paper Corp. ("Wausau" or the "Company") (NYSE: WPP) and announced that it delivered a letter to the Company's President and CEO, Thomas J. Howatt, and the Board of Directors. In the letter, Starboard stated that despite the continued success and positive trajectory of Wausau's Tissue business, the Company is deeply undervalued and it believes opportunities exist to significantly improve shareholder value. Starboard expressed its concern regarding the continued lack of profitability and low return on invested capital for Wausau's Paper business while also questioning the size, timing, and potential return from Wausau's planned large-scale Tissue business expansion project.
The full text of the letter follows:
July 28, 2011
Thomas J. Howatt
President and CEO
Wausau Paper Corp.
100 Paper Place
Mosinee, WI 54455
CC: Board of Directors
Dear Thomas,
Starboard Value LP, together with its affiliates, currently owns 6.3% of the outstanding common stock of Wausau Paper Corp. ("Wausau" or "the Company"), making us one of the Company's largest stockholders. Although we have not yet had an opportunity to meet with you, we have met with Hank Newell, Scott Doescher and Perry Grueber at your offices and have toured the Brokaw and Mosinee facilities. These meetings have been helpful in gaining a better understanding of Wausau, the challenges it faces and the future opportunities it hopes to capture. We look forward to continuing our dialogue with you, the senior management team, and the Board of Directors.
As we discussed with your team on June 20th, we believe that Wausau is deeply undervalued and that there are tremendous opportunities to significantly improve shareholder value through actions within the control of management and the Board of Directors. Our thesis is driven by the continued success and positive trajectory of the Tissue business, which, in our view, is being offset by dismal performance in the Company's Paper business. In fact, we believe that the primary reason for the Company's depressed valuation stems from the continued lack of profitability and low returns on capital of the Paper business. We are also concerned about capital allocation decisions around the expansion project currently slated for the Tissue business, which will require an additional $220 million of capital, or $4.50 per share. We have outlined our views regarding these issues for the benefit of the Board and look forward to actively engaging with you to discuss these and other matters.
Tissue Business
Wausau's Tissue business, which manufactures and converts towel and tissue products for the industrial and commercial "away-from-home" market, is a growing, highly profitable and stable cash flow business with strong brand recognition. As shown in the table below, over the past five years the Tissue business has generated a compounded annual revenue growth rate of 4.5% while producing average EBITDA margins of 21.6%. This strong performance has been achieved through an extremely challenging period in the US economy, demonstrating the underlying strength of this business. Further, the Tissue business has produced cumulative cash flow of almost $300 million over that time period.
Tissue Segment Performance |
($ in millions) |
||||||||||||
FYE Dec 31, |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
||||||||
Revenue |
$288.3 |
$307.6 |
$333.4 |
$336.2 |
$343.3 |
CAGR |
|||||||
Growth |
10.9% |
6.7% |
8.4% |
0.8% |
2.1% |
4.5% |
|||||||
EBITDA |
$66.2 |
$67.1 |
$60.1 |
$77.9 |
$76.3 |
Avg. |
|||||||
Margin |
22.9% |
21.8% |
18.0% |
23.2% |
22.2% |
21.6% |
|||||||
Less: Capex |
($3.2) |
($6.5) |
($18.9) |
($23.9) |
($6.6) |
Cum. |
|||||||
Pre-Tax Cash Flow (before Working Capital) |
$63.0 |
$60.6 |
$41.2 |
$54.0 |
$69.7 |
$288.5 |
|||||||
Based on our research, we believe that Wausau has carved out a highly defensible niche market in the Tissue business by focusing on "Green" products while targeting smaller markets with local and regional distributors. We believe that this market focus, coupled with improving employment and population growth, should enable Wausau's Tissue business to continue to generate consistent revenue growth and EBITDA margins.
Given these favorable characteristics, we believe that Wausau's Tissue business is highly valuable. Based on our analysis of publicly traded comparable companies and precedent transactions, we believe that Wausau's Tissue business is worth at least 7.0x – 8.0x EBITDA, or possibly more.(1) This would imply a valuation range for the Tissue business of between $490 million and $600 million.
Tissue Valuation vs. Current Enterprise Value |
($ in millions) |
|||||||||
Low |
High |
|||||||||
Tissue EBITDA |
$70.0 |
$75.0 |
||||||||
Multiple |
7.0x |
8.0x |
||||||||
Value of Tissue Business |
$490.0 |
$600.0 |
||||||||
Current Enterprise Value |
$497.5 |
$497.5 |
||||||||
Implied Value of Paper and Other Assets |
$7.5 |
($102.5) |
||||||||
Note: Enterprise value as of July 26, 2011. Valuation includes stock price of $7.27, shares outstanding of 49.2 million and net debt of $140 million. |
||||||||||
As shown in the table above, this valuation implies that the Tissue business by itself could be worth more than Wausau's total current enterprise value.
Paper Business and Other Assets
We believe that unlike Wausau's Tissue business, the Company's Paper business is struggling due to increasing commoditization and significant competition from larger and more established players. Wausau's Paper business consists of two separate businesses, Specialty Products and Printing & Writing. While Wausau has been able to penetrate certain profitable niche markets within the Paper business, such as bright colored papers and various specialty papers, the Paper business results have continued to be dominated by the overall decline in volume of the uncoated free sheet market and rising input costs. Unfortunately, as electronic media and storage further reduce paper consumption, we only expect the decline in the uncoated free sheet market to continue.
As shown in the table below, Wausau's Paper business has been a significant drain on profitability and management resources. Since Wausau began its restructuring initiatives in 2005 to improve profitability in the Paper business, the Company has invested over $100 million of capex in machine upgrades and improvements and has taken $150 million in restructuring charges. However, despite the Company's numerous attempts to restructure the business and the massive amount of capital spent, the Paper business continues to struggle and is currently operating well below its cost of capital.
Paper Segment Cash Flow |
($ in millions) |
|||||||||||||
FYE Dec 31, |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
Average |
|||||||
EBITDA |
$17.7 |
$28.9 |
$16.6 |
$2.8 |
$54.4 |
$36.1 |
$26.1 |
|||||||
Less: Capex |
(21.3) |
(19.8) |
(22.2) |
(23.8) |
(19.4) |
(35.1) |
(23.6) |
|||||||
Pre-Tax Cash Flow (before Working Capital) |
($3.6) |
$9.1 |
($5.6) |
($21.0) |
$35.0 |
$1.1 |
$2.5 |
|||||||
Total Assets(1) |
$605.9 |
$575.3 |
$536.6 |
$485.0 |
$435.3 |
$421.0 |
$509.8 |
|||||||
Pre-Tax Return on Assets |
(0.6%) |
1.6% |
(1.0%) |
(4.3%) |
8.0% |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|||||||
Note: All figures as reported in Company filings |
||||||||||||||
(1) Average assets for the year |
||||||||||||||
We believe the primary reason for the significant underperformance of the Paper segment stems from the continued losses in the Company's Printing & Writing business, which until 2010 was broken out as a separate segment. Since 2005, the Printing & Writing business has on average lost approximately $15 million in pre-tax cash flow per year. Given the fact that input costs have increased materially since 2009, we believe that losses in the Printing & Writing business have only increased.
Paper Segment Breakdown |
($ in millions) |
|||||||||||||
FYE Dec 31, |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
Average |
|||||||
Printing & Writing |
||||||||||||||
EBITDA |
($17.4) |
$1.4 |
($10.7) |
($13.0) |
$16.8 |
?? |
($4.6) |
|||||||
Less: Capex |
(10.0) |
(6.5) |
(11.4) |
(12.0) |
(12.9) |
?? |
(10.6) |
|||||||
Pre-Tax Cash Flow (before Working Capital) |
($27.5) |
($5.1) |
($22.1) |
($25.0) |
$3.9 |
?? |
($15.2) |
|||||||
Specialty Products |
||||||||||||||
EBITDA |
$35.1 |
$27.5 |
$27.3 |
$15.8 |
$37.5 |
?? |
$28.6 |
|||||||
Less: Capex |
(11.3) |
(13.3) |
(10.8) |
(11.8) |
(6.5) |
?? |
(10.7) |
|||||||
Pre-Tax Cash Flow (before Working Capital) |
$23.9 |
$14.2 |
$16.5 |
$4.0 |
$31.1 |
?? |
$17.9 |
|||||||
Despite the continued underperformance of Wausau's Paper business, we believe the business has considerable value. From a valuation perspective, historical transactions for poorly performing paper businesses or mills occur in the 4.0x – 5.5x normalized EBITDA range.(2) Given that a considerable amount of Wausau's revenue in this business comes from niche products with valuable brand recognition, we would expect Wausau's Paper business to garner higher multiples.
Additionally, the Company also owns Timberland and Hydroelectric assets, which we believe are non-core to Wausau and not factored into the current market valuation of the Company.
Paper Business and Other Asset Valuation |
($ in millions) |
|||||||||
Low |
High |
|||||||||
Paper EBITDA(1) |
$20.0 |
$25.0 |
||||||||
Multiple |
4.5x |
6.0x |
||||||||
Value of Paper Business |
$90.0 |
$150.0 |
||||||||
Acres of Timberland |
80,000 |
85,000 |
||||||||
Value per Acre(2) |
$700 |
$800 |
||||||||
Value of Timberlands |
$56.0 |
$68.0 |
||||||||
Value of Hydroelectric Assets(3) |
$10.0 |
$15.0 |
||||||||
Implied Value of Paper and Other Assets |
$156.0 |
$233.0 |
||||||||
Note: Valuation excludes any tax impact from potential asset sales |
||||||||||
(1) Starboard Value estimate of normalized EBITDA excluding contribution of |
||||||||||
Timberlands and Hydroelectric assets |
||||||||||
(2) Based on Wall Street analyst estimates and precedent transactions. We would note |
||||||||||
that WPP has been able to sell some of its timberland for much higher valuations |
||||||||||
(3) Starboard Value estimate, valued on a per MWh basis |
||||||||||
We believe that the value of the Paper business and other assets of Wausau, as shown in the table above, are not currently factored into the market valuation of the Company, primarily due to the underperformance of the Paper business and the non-core nature of the Timberlands and Hydroelectric assets. This is demonstrated by the illustrative sum-of-the-parts valuation below.
Sum-of-the-Parts Valuation |
($ in millions) |
|||||||||
Low |
High |
|||||||||
Value of Tissue Business |
$490.0 |
$600.0 |
||||||||
Value of Paper Business |
$90.0 |
$150.0 |
||||||||
Value of Timberlands |
$56.0 |
$68.0 |
||||||||
Value of Hydroelectric Assets |
$10.0 |
$15.0 |
||||||||
Total Enterprise Value |
$646.0 |
$833.0 |
||||||||
Less: Net Debt |
($140.0) |
($140.0) |
||||||||
Total Equity Value |
$506.0 |
$693.0 |
||||||||
Current Market Cap |
$357.5 |
$357.5 |
||||||||
Tissue Expansion Project
Although we strongly believe that the Tissue business has a bright future, we have significant concerns regarding the capital allocation decision to spend $220 million of shareholder capital to dramatically expand the Tissue business. These concerns are only heightened by the Company's significant capital allocations for the Paper business, which to date have failed to produce increased profitability and higher returns. While we believe that focusing on the Tissue business is prudent given the superior returns in that business compared to the Paper business, we question the size, timing, and potential return from this aggressive and capital-intensive project.
The proposed $220 million tissue expansion project is the largest capital program in the Company's history, equivalent to $4.50 per share in capital expenditures, or 61% of the market cap of the entire Company. In order for Wausau's debt level to stay under its total borrowing capacity of $300 million, the Company must generate free cash flow of at least $60 million by the completion of the project in early 2013.
Minimum Free Cash Flow Generation |
($ in millions) |
|||||
Current Net Debt |
$140.0 |
|||||
Plus: Tissue Expansion Capital |
$220.0 |
|||||
Total Capital Required |
$360.0 |
|||||
Less: Borrowing Capacity |
($300.0) |
|||||
Minimum Required Free Cash Flow Generation |
$60.0 |
|||||
While it is certainly feasible for the Company to generate the $60 million in free cash flow that is needed based on today's estimates, the current plan is not without serious execution risks. These risks include further deterioration in the performance of the Paper business, pulp price increases or delays and cost overruns in the tissue expansion project – just to name a few. Any one of these factors could result in Wausau breaching its current $300 million debt cap, adding substantial risk for shareholders.
Based on our current understanding of the expansion project, we are not sure whether the return potential justifies the increased risk. The Company has publicly disclosed a targeted Internal Rate of Return ("IRR") for the tissue expansion project of only 12%-14%. Based on our conversations with the management team, the Company estimates that it can save approximately $20 million per year by in-sourcing the manufacturing of approximately 75,000 tons of capacity that Wausau currently outsources. However, this cost savings will only get the Company to about half of the stated IRR target. In order to attain the full goal of 12%-14%, the Company will have to expand sales beyond its current customer base into the high end premium market, where the Company does not currently play. Given substantial uncertainty around Wausau's ability to penetrate this new market, we are not sure whether this high risk investment is justified.
We firmly believe Wausau is undervalued with significant opportunity to improve the value. The purpose of this letter is to outline our concerns regarding the current performance and strategic direction of the Company. Wausau's stock price has underperformed over almost any time period and we believe it is time for the Board to take action to address the significant concerns highlighted in this letter. We look forward to the opportunity to work with you and the Board of Directors to enhance value while ensuring that Wausau is run with the best interests of all shareholders as the primary objective.
Best Regards,
Jeffrey C. Smith
Managing Member
Starboard Value LP
(1) Publicly traded comparable companies include CLW, TIS and KMB. The most comparable recent transaction was CLW's purchase of Cellu Tissue in September 2010 for more than 8x EBITDA.
(2) Estimates based on discussions with industry sources.
CONTACT: |
Peter Feld |
212-201-4878 |
|
Gavin Molinelli |
212-201-4828 |
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SOURCE Starboard Value LP
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