National Credit Default Rates Reach Historical Lows in April 2015 According to the S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices
Four of the Five Cities Saw Significant Default Rate Decreases in April 2015
NEW YORK, May 19, 2015 /PRNewswire/ -- Data through April 2015, released today by S&P Dow Jones Indices and Experian for the S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices, a comprehensive measure of changes in consumer credit defaults, continued its downward trend in default rates. The composite index posted a historical low of 0.97% in April, a decrease of eight basis points, and its lowest level since July 2014. The second mortgage default rate also reported a historical low, down seven basis points to 0.43%. The auto loan default rate posted its second consecutive decrease with a reported rate of 0.94%, down nine basis points and its lowest level since June 2014. The first mortgage default rate decreased for a third consecutive month, down nine basis points to 0.83%, its largest reported decrease since May 2014. The bank card default rate continued to rise, reporting a rate of 3.18%, an increase of 19 basis points and its highest reported rate since July 2013.
Four of the five major cities reported negative month over month default rate results in April. Miami led the way reporting a rate of 1.20%, down 19 basis points from the previous month. Dallas reported a second consecutive decrease, down 15 basis points to 0.90%. Chicago reported a default rate of 1.05%, a decrease of 10 basis points, its lowest reported rate since July 2006. New York posted its first decrease since November 2014 with a reported rate of 1.10%, down 10 basis points. Los Angeles reported the only rate increase, a modest one basis point increase to 0.90%.
"Continued improvements in the economy and the labor markets seen in the April unemployment rate and job growth suggest consumers have reasons to be optimistic," says David M. Blitzer, Managing Director and Chairman of the Index Committee for S&P Dow Jones Indices. "Apparently, that optimism has a darker side in rising defaults among bank card users. However, the current default rates are lower than those experienced before the financial crisis and should not present any significant economic concerns. Moreover, default experience in the mortgage series continues to impove. Overall, consumer credit conditions support further economic activity.
"Among the cities, the notable trend is that the default rates for all five continue to move closer and closer together. This is markedly different from the financial crisis when the default rates for Miami and Los Angeles were substantially higher than the other cities, especially compared to low rates in Dallas. City composite default rates are driven by first mortgage default rates and reflect the extent to which home prices fell after 2006. These patterns are another sign that housing is returning to more normal conditions."
The table below summarizes the April 2015 results for the S&P/Experian Credit Default Indices. These data are not seasonally adjusted and are not subject to revision.
S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices |
|||||
National Indices |
|||||
Index |
April 2015 |
March 2015 |
April 2014 |
||
Composite |
0.97 |
1.05 |
1.11 |
||
First Mortgage |
0.83 |
0.92 |
1.01 |
||
Second Mortgage |
0.43 |
0.50 |
0.63 |
||
Bank Card |
3.18 |
2.99 |
2.84 |
||
Auto Loans |
0.94 |
1.03 |
0.92 |
||
Source: S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices |
|||||
Data through April 2015 |
|||||
The table below provides the S&P/Experian Consumer Default Composite Indices for the five MSAs:
Metropolitan |
April 2015 |
March 2015 |
April 2014 |
||
New York |
1.10 |
1.20 |
1.19 |
||
Chicago |
1.05 |
1.15 |
1.36 |
||
Dallas |
0.90 |
1.05 |
0.83 |
||
Los Angeles |
0.90 |
0.89 |
0.97 |
||
Miami |
1.20 |
1.39 |
1.98 |
||
Source: S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices |
|||||
Data through April 2015 |
|||||
About S&P Dow Jones Indices
S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, a part of McGraw Hill Financial, is the world's largest, global resource for index-based concepts, data and research. Home to iconic financial market indicators, such as the S&P 500® and the Dow Jones Industrial Average™, S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC has over 115 years of experience constructing innovative and transparent solutions that fulfill the needs of investors. More assets are invested in products based upon our indices than any other provider in the world. With over 1,000,000 indices covering a wide range of asset classes across the globe, S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC defines the way investors measure and trade the markets. To learn more about our company, please visit www.spdji.com.
Standard & Poor's and S&P are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC, a part of McGraw Hill Financial. Dow Jones is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC ("Dow Jones"). These trademarks have been licensed to S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, Dow Jones, S&P and their respective affiliates (collectively "S&P Dow Jones Indices") do not sponsor, endorse, sell, or promote any investment fund or other investment vehicle that is offered by third parties and that seeks to provide an investment return based on the performance of any index. This document does not constitute an offer of services in jurisdictions where S&P Dow Jones Indices does not have the necessary licenses. S&P Dow Jones Indices receives compensation in connection with licensing its indices to third parties.
About Experian
We are the leading global information services company, providing data and analytical tools to our clients around the world. We help businesses to manage credit risk, prevent fraud, target marketing offers and automate decision making. We also help people to check their credit report and credit score, and protect against identity theft. In 2014, we were named by Forbes magazine as one of the "World's Most Innovative Companies."
We employ approximately 16,000 people in 39 countries and our corporate headquarters are in Dublin, Ireland, with operational headquarters in Nottingham, UK; California, US; and São Paulo, Brazil.
Experian plc is listed on the London Stock Exchange (EXPN) and is a constituent of the FTSE 100 index. Total revenue for the year ended March 31, 2014, was US$4.8 billion.
To find out more about our company, please visit http://www.experianplc.com or watch our documentary, "Inside Experian."
For more information:
Dave Guarino
Communications
S&P Dow Jones Indices
[email protected]
(+1) 212-438-1471
David Blitzer
Managing Director and Chairman of the Index Committee
S&P Dow Jones Indices
[email protected]
(+1) 212-438-3907
Jordan Takeyama
Experian Public Relations
[email protected]
(+1) 714-830-7561
Jointly developed by S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and Experian, the S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices are published on the third Tuesday of each month at 9:00 am ET. They are constructed to track the default experience of consumer balances in four key loan categories: auto, bankcard, first mortgage lien and second mortgage lien. The Indices are calculated based on data extracted from Experian's consumer credit database. This database is populated with individual consumer loan and payment data submitted by lenders to Experian every month. Experian's base of data contributors includes leading banks and mortgage companies, and covers approximately $11 trillion in outstanding loans sourced from 11,500 lenders.
For more information, please visit: www.consumercreditindices.standardandpoors.com.
All information provided by S&P Dow Jones Indices is impersonal and not tailored to the needs of any person, entity or group of persons. S&P Dow Jones Indices and its third party licensors do not sponsor, endorse, sell, promote or manage any investment fund or other vehicle that is offered by third parties and that seeks to provide an investment return based on the returns of any S&P Dow Jones Indices' index. S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC is not an investment advisor, and S&P Dow Jones Indices and its third party licensors make no representation regarding the advisability of investing in any such investment fund or other vehicle. A decision to invest in any such investment fund or other vehicle should not be made in reliance on any of the statements set forth in this press release. Prospective investors are advised to make an investment in any such fund or other vehicle only after carefully considering the risks associated with investing in such funds, as detailed in an offering memorandum or similar document that is prepared by or on behalf of the issuer of the investment fund or other vehicle. Inclusion of a security within an index is not a recommendation by S&P Dow Jones Indices or its third party licensors to buy, sell, or hold such security, nor is it considered to be investment advice. Exposure to an asset class is available through investable instruments based on an index. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. There is no assurance that investment products based on the index will accurately track index performance or provide positive investment returns.
S&P Dow Jones Indices and its third party licensors do not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy, timeliness and/or completeness of any S&P Dow Jones Indices' index, any data included therein, or any data from which it is based, or any communication with respect thereto, including, but not limited to, oral or written communications (including electronic communications) with respect thereto. S&P DOW JONES INDICES AND ITS THIRD PARTY LICENSORS MAKE NO EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, AND EXPRESSLY DISCLAIMS ALL WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE WITH RESPECT TO THE MARKS, THE INDEX OR ANY DATA INCLUDED THEREIN. S&P DOW JONES INDICES AND ITS THIRD PARTY LICENSORS SHALL NOT BE SUBJECT TO ANY DAMAGES OR LIABILITY FOR ANY ERRORS, OMISSIONS OR DELAYS IN THE INDEX OR ANY DATA INCLUDED THEREIN AND THE DISSEMINATION THEREOF. S&P Dow Jones Indices and its third party licensors make no warranties, express or implied, as to results to be obtained from use of information provided by S&P Dow Jones Indices and its third party licensors and used in this service, and S&P Dow Jones Indices and its third party licensors expressly disclaim all warranties of suitability with respect thereto.
Without limiting the foregoing, the Indices are calculated by S&P Dow Jones Indices and its third party licensors based on a sampling of data reported to S&P Dow Jones Indices or its third party licensor from third parties, and neither S&P Dow Jones Indices nor its third party licensors verify the adequacy, accuracy, timeliness or completeness of such data. Neither S&P Dow Jones Indices nor its third party licensor guarantee that such data and/or the sampling thereof shall be representative of the rate of actual consumer credit default or of any other attribute or activity.
Neither S&P Dow Jones Indices nor its third party licensors shall be liable for any claims or losses of any nature in connection with information contained in this document, including but not limited to, lost profits or punitive or consequential damages, even if it is advised of the possibility of same. These materials have been prepared solely for informational purposes. S&P Dow Jones Indices and its third party licensors make no representation with respect to the accuracy or completeness of these materials, the content of which September change without notice. The methodology involves rebalancing and maintenance of the indices that are made periodically during each year and September not, therefore, reflect real-time information. S&P Dow Jones Indices and its third party licensors shall not have any obligation to update any published index in light of any change to the data used to calculate such index or to provide anyone with notice of such change.
Analytic services and products provided by S&P Dow Jones Indices are the result of separate activities designed to preserve the independence and objectivity of each analytic process. S&P Dow Jones Indices has established policies and procedures to maintain the confidentiality of non-public information received during each analytic process. S&P Dow Jones Indices and its affiliates provide a wide range of services to, or relating to, many organizations, including issuers of securities, investment advisers, broker-dealers, investment banks, other financial institutions and financial intermediaries, and accordingly September receive fees or other economic benefits from those organizations, including organizations whose securities or services they September recommend, rate, include in model portfolios, evaluate or otherwise address.
WITHOUT LIMITING ANY OF THE FOREGOING, IN NO EVENT WHATSOEVER SHALL S&P Dow Jones INDICES OR ITS THIRD PARTY LICENSORS BE LIABLE FOR ANY INDIRECT, SPECIAL, INCIDENTAL, PUNITIVE OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO, LOSS OF PROFITS, TRADING LOSSES, LOST TIME OR GOODWILL, EVEN IF THEY HAVE BEEN ADVISED OF THE POSSIBILITY OF SUCH DAMAGES, WHETHER IN CONTRACT, TORT, STRICT LIABILITY OR OTHERWISE. No third party, including any sublicensee, investor, customer or user of a product, is intended to be a third party beneficiary to any agreement between or among any of licensee, S&P Dow Jones Indices and/or any of its third party licensors.
Copyright © 2014 by S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC. All rights reserved.
Redistribution, reproduction and/or photocopying in whole or in part is prohibited without written permission.
© 2014 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved
SOURCE S&P Dow Jones Indices
Share this article