NEW YORK, Feb. 21, 2012 /PRNewswire/ -- In the past month, President Obama has seen his re-election chances get slightly better and his approval ratings have gone up. The mood of the country has also become more optimistic. But, for all this, one thing remains the same – Congress' job approval is still at historic lows. Just 7% of Americans give the overall job Congress is doing positive ratings while 93% give them negative ratings. Last month 6% of U.S. adults gave Congress positive ratings while 94% gave Congress negative marks. Interestingly, the last time their job rating was over 10% positive was in June of last year and the last time it was over 20% was in August of 2009.
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These are some of the results of The Harris Poll of 2,056 adults surveyed online between February 6 and 13, 2012 by Harris Interactive.
It is slightly better for individual members of Congress. When asked how they would rate the overall job their Member of Congress is doing, one-quarter of Americans (23%) give their Representative positive ratings, but almost two-thirds (64%) give them negative ratings while just over one in ten (13%) say they are not familiar enough with their Member of Congress to rate them. Three in ten Republicans (29%) rate their Member of Congress positively compared to one-quarter of Democrats (25%) and one in five Independents (19%).
Looking ahead to November, right now the question of who will control Congress' two houses is a good one. If the election for Congress were being held today, 38% of registered voters would vote for the Democratic candidate and 35% would vote for the Republican candidate; 6% would vote for another candidate and one in five (20%) are not sure. Last month, it was a tie as 38% of registered voters said they would vote for the Democratic candidate and the same number said they would vote for the Republican candidate.
By party, each one holds on to their partisan supporters. Just over four in five Democrats (84%) would vote for the Democratic candidate and just over four in five Republicans (85%) would vote for the Republican candidate. Independents are definitely divided at this point. Just over one-quarter (28%) would vote for the Republican candidate, one-quarter (25%) would vote for the Democratic candidate, just over one in ten (13%) would vote for another candidate and one-third (34%) are not sure who they would vote for at this time.
So What?
Members of Congress are probably happy a lot of the focus is on the presidential race at this point in time. That way, their consistent string of historically low approval ratings is not the main political focus. But, that will change as the election nears. With the constant partisan in-fighting on Capitol Hill as well as general sense this is the most do-nothing Congress in years, November is shaping up to have the potential to bring a large number of surprises and upsets as people don't even approve of the job their Member of Congress is doing.
TABLE 1 |
||||||
"If the election for Congress were being held today, for whom would you most likely vote?" |
||||||
Base: All adults |
||||||
|
Total |
Registered |
Political Party |
|||
Jan |
Feb |
Rep. |
Dem. |
Ind. |
||
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Democratic candidate |
37 |
38 |
38 |
2 |
84 |
25 |
Republican candidate |
33 |
38 |
35 |
85 |
3 |
28 |
Other |
7 |
8 |
6 |
2 |
2 |
13 |
Not sure |
23 |
16 |
20 |
11 |
11 |
34 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding |
TABLE 2 CONGRESS' OVERALL JOB RATING |
||||
"How would you rate the overall job Congress is doing?" |
||||
Base: All adults |
||||
|
Total |
Political Party |
||
Rep. |
Dem. |
Ind. |
||
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
POSITIVE |
7 |
7 |
7 |
6 |
Excellent |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
Pretty good |
6 |
6 |
6 |
5 |
NEGATIVE |
93 |
93 |
93 |
94 |
Only fair |
33 |
38 |
34 |
27 |
Poor |
60 |
54 |
58 |
67 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding |
TABLE 3 CONGRESS' OVERALL JOB RATING – TREND |
|||
"How would you rate the overall job Congress is doing?" |
|||
Base: All adults |
|||
|
TREND |
Positive* |
Negative** |
% |
% |
||
2012 |
February |
7 |
93 |
|
January |
6 |
94 |
2011 |
December |
5 |
95 |
|
November |
5 |
95 |
October |
5 |
95 |
|
September |
6 |
94 |
|
August |
5 |
95 |
|
July |
8 |
92 |
|
June |
11 |
89 |
|
May |
13 |
87 |
|
April |
8 |
92 |
|
March |
10 |
90 |
|
February |
14 |
86 |
|
January |
16 |
84 |
|
2010 |
December |
11 |
89 |
|
November |
13 |
87 |
October |
11 |
89 |
|
September |
13 |
87 |
|
August |
15 |
85 |
|
June |
14 |
86 |
|
May |
15 |
85 |
|
April |
16 |
84 |
|
March |
10 |
90 |
|
Jan. |
16 |
84 |
|
2009 |
Dec. |
17 |
83 |
|
Oct. |
16 |
84 |
Aug. |
22 |
78 |
|
June |
25 |
75 |
|
March |
29 |
71 |
|
2008 |
October |
10 |
86 |
|
August |
18 |
77 |
June |
13 |
83 |
|
February |
20 |
76 |
|
2007 |
December |
17 |
79 |
|
October |
20 |
77 |
April |
27 |
69 |
|
February |
33 |
62 |
|
2006 |
September |
24 |
73 |
|
May |
18 |
80 |
February |
25 |
71 |
|
January |
25 |
72 |
|
*Positive = excellent or pretty good. **Negative = only fair or poor. |
TABLE 4 JOB RATING OF INDIVIDUAL MEMBER OF CONGRESS |
||||
"How would you rate the overall job your Member of Congress is doing?" |
||||
Base: All adults |
||||
|
Total |
Political Party |
||
Rep. |
Dem. |
Ind. |
||
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
POSITIVE |
23 |
29 |
25 |
19 |
Excellent |
4 |
5 |
5 |
2 |
Pretty good |
19 |
16 |
20 |
17 |
NEGATIVE |
64 |
64 |
61 |
70 |
Only fair |
35 |
36 |
33 |
34 |
Poor |
30 |
29 |
28 |
37 |
Not familiar enough to rate |
13 |
15 |
14 |
11 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding |
Methodology
This Harris Poll was conducted online within the United States between February 6 and 13, 2012 among 2,056 adults (aged 18 and over). Figures for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, region and household income were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents' propensity to be online.
All sample surveys and polls, whether or not they use probability sampling, are subject to multiple sources of error which are most often not possible to quantify or estimate, including sampling error, coverage error, error associated with nonresponse, error associated with question wording and response options, and post-survey weighting and adjustments. Therefore, Harris Interactive avoids the words "margin of error" as they are misleading. All that can be calculated are different possible sampling errors with different probabilities for pure, unweighted, random samples with 100% response rates. These are only theoretical because no published polls come close to this ideal.
Respondents for this survey were selected from among those who have agreed to participate in Harris Interactive surveys. The data have been weighted to reflect the composition of the adult population. Because the sample is based on those who agreed to participate in the Harris Interactive panel, no estimates of theoretical sampling error can be calculated.
These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.
The results of this Harris Poll may not be used in advertising, marketing or promotion without the prior written permission of Harris Interactive.
J41216
Q1215, 1217, 1225, 1228, 1260
The Harris Poll® #19, February 21, 2012
By Regina A. Corso, SVP, Harris Poll, Public Relations and Youth Research, Harris Interactive
About Harris Interactive
Harris Interactive is one of the world's leading custom market research firms, leveraging research, technology, and business acumen to transform relevant insight into actionable foresight. Known widely for the Harris Poll and for pioneering innovative research methodologies, Harris offers expertise in a wide range of industries including healthcare, technology, public affairs, energy, telecommunications, financial services, insurance, media, retail, restaurant, and consumer package goods. Serving clients in over 215 countries and territories through our North American and European offices and a network of independent market research firms, Harris specializes in delivering research solutions that help us – and our clients – stay ahead of what's next. For more information, please visit www.harrisinteractive.com.
Press Contact:
Corporate Communications
Harris Interactive
212-539-9600
[email protected]
SOURCE Harris Interactive
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