Allstate Sustains Growth and Profitability

NORTHBROOK, Ill., Feb. 4, 2015 /PRNewswire/ -- The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) today reported financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2014. The financial highlights were:

"Allstate's sustained growth and profitability reflects the progress we have made in building a competitively differentiated insurance company," said Thomas J. Wilson, chairman and chief executive officer of The Allstate Corporation. "Our strategy to serve customers with unique value propositions enabled the property-liability businesses to increase policies in force across all three underwritten brands by 840,000, which led to a $1.5 billion increase in premiums written in 2014. Excellent operating results generated net income of $2.7 billion and operating income of $2.4 billion for the year. The underlying combined ratio was at the favorable end of the full-year outlook range, as the negative impact of adverse fourth quarter frequency on auto margins was more than offset by our focus on profitable growth. As a result, we are maintaining the underlying combined ratio outlook range at 87 to 89 for 2015.

"Shareholders benefited from this strong operating performance," Wilson said. "Allstate returned $2.8 billion to shareholders in 2014 through a combination of dividends and share repurchases. The board decided to raise the quarterly dividend by 7% to 30 cents per share for the first quarter of 2015. In addition, a new $3 billion share repurchase program was approved to start immediately upon completion of the current $2.5 billion program, which is expected in the first quarter of 2015."

Operating Results: Fourth Quarter 2014

Operating performance in the fourth quarter reflected a continuation of the year's growth trajectory and auto margins that were impacted by higher claim frequency. Growth in Allstate brand policies in force continued its positive momentum, with auto insurance policies 2.9% higher than the prior year and homeowner policies beginning to grow as a broad set of initiatives to improve returns have now been implemented.

An increase in claim frequency in the first two months of the quarter adversely impacted the combined ratio for auto insurance, with the Allstate brand auto combined ratio rising to 97.0. This was 1.7 points higher than the prior year. The impact of precipitation in select markets and general economic trends will both be reflected in pricing as necessary to maintain adequate returns. Excellent homeowners profitability brought the property-liability recorded combined ratio to 90.0 for the quarter. Allstate Financial operating income decreased by 20% from the prior year's quarter to $128 million, largely due to the disposition of Lincoln Benefit Life (LBL).

Net income available to common shareholders was $1.86 per share, or $795 million versus $1.76 per share in the fourth quarter of last year. Operating income was $1.72 per share, or $736 million compared to $1.70 in 2013.

Key metrics for the quarter:

• Policy in force growth: Total Property-Liability (2.5%), Allstate auto (2.9%), Allstate homeowners (0.5%), Esurance (12.6%), Encompass (1.8%)
• Recorded combined ratios: Total Property-Liability (90.0), Allstate auto (97.0), Allstate homeowners (63.6), Esurance (115.5), Encompass (93.1)
• Pre-tax yield on investment portfolio: 4.2%

Full Year Results

Results for 2014 demonstrate successful execution of the strategy to provide unique value propositions to each customer segment. The Allstate brand accounted for more than 80% of the $1.5 billion growth in net written premium over prior year, driven by broad-based policy and average premium growth in both auto and homeowners.

Underwriting income for 2014 was adversely impacted by a 59.3% increase in catastrophe losses compared with historically low 2013 levels, and resulted in a property-liability combined ratio of 93.9 for 2014, 1.9 points unfavorable to the prior year. The underlying property-liability combined ratio of 87.2 for 2014 was 0.1 point better than 2013, the result of our approach to managing pricing and underwriting actions on a local basis to keep pace with loss trends and maintain margins.

Allstate Financial recorded net income of $631 million in 2014, compared to net income of $95 million in 2013, which included the initial estimated loss on the disposition of LBL. Operating income increased 3.2% to $607 million from 2013.

Net investment income of $3.5 billion for 2014 was 12.3% lower than 2013 due to the LBL divestiture, the continued planned reduction in deferred annuities, and the ongoing impact of low interest rates on the portfolio's results. Limited partnership income was strong in 2014, partially offsetting the impact of low interest rates.

Other milestones achieved in 2014:

• Allstate brand exclusive agencies increased by approximately 400 or 4% in the United States and continued to evolve to a trusted advisor model.
• Allstate brand auto policy growth of 2.9% was driven by increased retention and new issued applications that were 18.5% above the previous ten-year average.
• Esurance continued to expand its geographic reach and product portfolio. In 2014, the company expanded its auto, renters, homeowners  and motorcycle insurance to additional states.
• The Drivewise^® program is now in 46 states plus the District of Columbia. To date, customers using Drivewise have driven nearly six billion miles over the course of more than 220 million hours on the road.
• Recorded combined ratios: Total Property-Liability (93.9), Allstate auto (94.7), Allstate homeowners (82.5), Esurance (117.7), Encompass (106.1)
• Underlying combined ratios: Total Property-Liability (87.2), Allstate auto (94.2), Allstate homeowners (61.7), Esurance (114.2), Encompass (93.7)
• Total return on investment portfolio: 5.8%

Proactive Capital Management

"We continued to provide good returns to our shareholders and maintain a strong capital position to provide strategic flexibility," said Steve Shebik, chief financial officer. "In 2014, we returned $2.8 billion to shareholders through a combination of common stock dividends and repurchasing 8.7% of our beginning-of-year-outstanding shares. We further improved our financial strength by repaying $950 million of maturing debt and issuing $998 million of preferred stock, decreasing our debt to capital ratio to 18.9% at year-end 2014."

As of December 31, 2014, $336 million remained under Allstate's authorized $2.5 billion common share repurchase program, which is expected to be completed in the first quarter of 2015. The company will then initiate its new $3 billion repurchase program to be completed by July of 2016. Holding company assets increased to $3.4 billion at year-end 2014, as the capital from the sale of LBL was successfully moved to the holding company. Book value per diluted common share increased 6.5% from a year ago, to $48.24 at year-end 2014.

The $0.30 per common share dividend declared today will be payable on April 1, 2015 to stockholders of record at the close of business on March 2, 2015.

Visit www.allstateinvestors.com to view additional information about Allstate's results, including a webcast of its quarterly conference call and the presentation discussed on the call. The conference call will be held at 9 a.m. ET on Thursday, February 5.

The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) is the nation's largest publicly held personal lines insurer, protecting approximately 16 million households from life's uncertainties through auto, home, life and other insurance offered through its Allstate, Esurance, Encompass and Answer Financial brand names. Allstate is widely known through the slogan "You're In Good Hands With Allstate^®." The Allstate brand's network of small businesses offers auto, home, life and retirement products and services to customers in the United States and Canada.

Financial information, including material announcements about The Allstate Corporation, is routinely posted on www.allstateinvestors.com.

Forward-Looking Statements 
This news release contains "forward-looking statements" that anticipate results based on our estimates, assumptions and plans that are subject to uncertainty.  These statements are made subject to the safe-harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.  These forward-looking statements do not relate strictly to historical or current facts and may be identified by their use of words like "plans," "seeks," "expects," "will," "should," "anticipates," "estimates," "intends," "believes," "likely," "targets" and other words with similar meanings.  We believe these statements are based on reasonable estimates, assumptions and plans.  However, if the estimates, assumptions or plans underlying the forward-looking statements prove inaccurate or if other risks or uncertainties arise, actual results could differ materially from those communicated in these forward-looking statements.  Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, the forward-looking statements may be found in our filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including the "Risk Factors" section in our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and quarterly report on Form 10-Q. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made, and we assume no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement.

Definitions of Non-GAAP Measures
We believe that investors' understanding of Allstate's performance is enhanced by our disclosure of the following non-GAAP measures. Our methods for calculating these measures may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.

Operating income is net income available to common shareholders, excluding:

• realized capital gains and losses, after-tax, except for periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, which are reported with realized capital gains and losses but included in operating income,
• valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are not hedged, after-tax,
• amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs (DAC) and deferred sales inducements (DSI), to the extent they resulted from the recognition of certain realized capital gains and losses or valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are not hedged, after-tax,
• amortization of purchased intangible assets, after-tax,
• gain (loss) on disposition of operations, after-tax, and 
• adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items, when (a) the nature of the charge or gain is such that it is reasonably unlikely to recur within two years, or (b) there has been no similar charge or gain within the prior two years.

Net income available to common shareholders is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to operating income.

We use operating income as an important measure to evaluate our results of operations. We believe that the measure provides investors with a valuable measure of the company's ongoing performance because it reveals trends in our insurance and financial services business that may be obscured by the net effect of realized capital gains and losses, valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are not hedged, amortization of purchased intangible assets, gain (loss) on disposition of operations and adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items. Realized capital gains and losses, valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are not hedged and gain (loss) on disposition of operations may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by business decisions and external economic developments such as capital market conditions, the timing of which is unrelated to the insurance underwriting process. Consistent with our intent to protect results or earn additional income, operating income includes periodic settlements and accruals on certain derivative instruments that are reported in realized capital gains and losses because they do not qualify for hedge accounting or are not designated as hedges for accounting purposes. These instruments are used for economic hedges and to replicate fixed income securities, and by including them in operating income, we are appropriately reflecting their trends in our performance and in a manner consistent with the economically hedged investments, product attributes (e.g. net investment income and interest credited to contractholder funds) or replicated investments. Amortization of purchased intangible assets is excluded because it relates to the acquisition purchase price and is not indicative of our underlying insurance business results or trends. Non-recurring items are excluded because, by their nature, they are not indicative of our business or economic trends. Accordingly, operating income excludes the effect of items that tend to be highly variable from period to period and highlights the results from ongoing operations and the underlying profitability of our business. A byproduct of excluding these items to determine operating income is the transparency and understanding of their significance to net income variability and profitability while recognizing these or similar items may recur in subsequent periods. Operating income is used by management along with the other components of net income available to common shareholders to assess our performance. We use adjusted measures of operating income in incentive compensation.  Therefore, we believe it is useful for investors to evaluate net income available to common shareholders, operating income and their components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing and evaluating our performance. We note that investors, financial analysts, financial and business media organizations and rating agencies utilize operating income results in their evaluation of our and our industry's financial performance and in their investment decisions, recommendations and communications as it represents a reliable, representative and consistent measurement of the industry and the company and management's performance. We note that the price to earnings multiple commonly used by insurance investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses operating income as the denominator. Operating income should not be considered a substitute for net income available to common shareholders and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business.

The following tables reconcile operating income and net income available to common shareholders.

Operating income return on common shareholders' equity is a ratio that uses a non-GAAP measure. It is calculated by dividing the rolling 12-month operating income by the average of common shareholders' equity at the beginning and at the end of the 12-months, after excluding the effect of unrealized net capital gains and losses. Return on common shareholders' equity is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. We use operating income as the numerator for the same reasons we use operating income, as discussed above. We use average common shareholders' equity excluding the effect of unrealized net capital gains and losses for the denominator as a representation of common shareholders' equity primarily attributable to the company's earned and realized business operations because it eliminates the effect of items that are unrealized and vary significantly between periods due to external economic developments such as capital market conditions like changes in equity prices and interest rates, the amount and timing of which are unrelated to the insurance underwriting process. We use it to supplement our evaluation of net income available to common shareholders and return on common shareholders' equity because it excludes the effect of items that tend to be highly variable from period to period. We believe that this measure is useful to investors and that it provides a valuable tool for investors when considered along with return on common shareholders' equity because it eliminates the after-tax effects of realized and unrealized net capital gains and losses that can fluctuate significantly from period to period and that are driven by economic developments, the magnitude and timing of which are generally not influenced by management. In addition, it eliminates non-recurring items that are not indicative of our ongoing business or economic trends. A byproduct of excluding the items noted above to determine operating income return on common shareholders' equity from return on common shareholders' equity is the transparency and understanding of their significance to return on common shareholders' equity variability and profitability while recognizing these or similar items may recur in subsequent periods. We use adjusted measures of operating income return on common shareholders' equity in incentive compensation. Therefore, we believe it is useful for investors to have operating income return on common shareholders' equity and return on common shareholders' equity when evaluating our performance. We note that investors, financial analysts, financial and business media organizations and rating agencies utilize operating income return on common shareholders' equity results in their evaluation of our and our industry's financial performance and in their investment decisions, recommendations and communications as it represents a reliable, representative and consistent measurement of the industry and the company and management's utilization of capital. Operating income return on common shareholders' equity should not be considered a substitute for return on common shareholders' equity and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business.

The following tables reconcile return on common shareholders' equity and operating income return on common shareholders' equity.

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Underwriting income is calculated as premiums earned, less claims and claims expense ("losses"), amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses and restructuring and related charges as determined using GAAP. Management uses this measure in its evaluation of the results of operations to analyze the profitability of our Property-Liability insurance operations separately from investment results. It is also an integral component of incentive compensation. It is useful for investors to evaluate the components of income separately and in the aggregate when reviewing performance. Net income available to common shareholders is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. Underwriting income should not be considered a substitute for net income available to common shareholders and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business. A reconciliation of Property-Liability underwriting income to net income available to common shareholders is provided in the "Business Results" page.

Combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes, prior year reserve reestimates and amortization of purchased intangible assets ("underlying combined ratio") is a non-GAAP ratio, which is computed as the difference between four GAAP operating ratios: the combined ratio, the effect of catastrophes on the combined ratio, the effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates on the combined ratio, and the effect of amortization of purchased intangible assets on the combined ratio. We believe that this ratio is useful to investors and it is used by management to reveal the trends in our Property-Liability business that may be obscured by catastrophe losses, prior year reserve reestimates and amortization of purchased intangible assets. Catastrophe losses cause our loss trends to vary significantly between periods as a result of their incidence of occurrence and magnitude, and can have a significant impact on the combined ratio. Prior year reserve reestimates are caused by unexpected loss development on historical reserves. Amortization of purchased intangible assets relates to the acquisition purchase price and is not indicative of our underlying insurance business results or trends. We believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our underwriting performance. We also provide it to facilitate a comparison to our outlook on the underlying combined ratio. The most directly comparable GAAP measure is the combined ratio. The underlying combined ratio should not be considered a substitute for the combined ratio and does not reflect the overall underwriting profitability of our business.

The following table reconciles the Property-Liability underlying combined ratio to the Property-Liability combined ratio.

Underwriting margin is calculated as 100% minus the combined ratio.

In this news release, we provide our outlook range on the Property-Liability 2015 underlying combined ratio. A reconciliation of this measure to the combined ratio is not possible on a forward-looking basis because it is not possible to provide a reliable forecast of catastrophes. Future prior year reserve reestimates are expected to be zero because reserves are determined based on our best estimate of ultimate loss reserves as of the reporting date.

The following table reconciles the Allstate brand underlying combined ratio to the Allstate brand combined ratio.

The following table reconciles the Allstate brand auto underlying combined ratio to the Allstate brand auto combined ratio.

The following table reconciles the Allstate brand homeowners underlying combined ratio to the Allstate brand homeowners combined ratio.

The following table reconciles the Encompass brand underlying combined ratio to the Encompass brand combined ratio.

Esurance brand underlying loss ratio is a non-GAAP ratio, which is computed as the difference between three GAAP operating ratios: the loss ratio, the effect of catastrophes on the combined ratio and the effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates on the combined ratio.  We believe that this ratio is useful to investors and it is used by management to reveal the trends in the Esurance business that may be obscured by catastrophe losses and prior year reserve reestimates.  Catastrophe losses cause our loss trends to vary significantly between periods as a result of their incidence of occurrence and magnitude, and can have a significant impact on the combined ratio.  Prior year reserve reestimates are caused by unexpected loss development on historical reserves.  We believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our underwriting performance.  The most directly comparable GAAP measure is the loss ratio. The underlying loss ratio should not be considered a substitute for the loss ratio and does not reflect the overall loss ratio of our business.

The following table reconciles the Esurance brand underlying loss ratio and underlying combined ratio to the Esurance brand combined ratio.

Book value per common share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities, is a ratio that uses a non-GAAP measure. It is calculated by dividing common shareholders' equity after excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities and related DAC, DSI and life insurance reserves by total common shares outstanding plus dilutive potential common shares outstanding. We use the trend in book value per common share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities, in conjunction with book value per common share to identify and analyze the change in net worth attributable to management efforts between periods. We believe the non-GAAP ratio is useful to investors because it eliminates the effect of items that can fluctuate significantly from period to period and are generally driven by economic developments, primarily capital market conditions, the magnitude and timing of which are generally not influenced by management, and we believe it enhances understanding and comparability of performance by highlighting underlying business activity and profitability drivers. We note that book value per common share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities, is a measure commonly used by insurance investors as a valuation technique. Book value per common share is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. Book value per common share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities, should not be considered a substitute for book value per common share, and does not reflect the recorded net worth of our business. The following table shows the reconciliation.

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SOURCE The Allstate Corporation

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