US Corrugated & Paperboard Boxes Market

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US Corrugated & Paperboard Boxes Market

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US box demand to top $36 billion by 2016

Demand for corrugated and paperboard boxes in the US is projected to exceed $36 billion in 2016. Gains will be driven by an overall strengthening of the US economy following the 2007-2009 recession. Through 2016, growth will benefit from expanded food, beverage and durable goods output, as well as from a rebound in construction spending, which will stimulate demand for goods and materials used in construction applications. Advances will also reflect a trend toward more expensive boxes such as corrugated types, folding cartons that offer high-quality graphics and printing, and boxes that are retail- or shelf-ready.

Corrugated and solid fiber boxes to post fastest gains

Corrugated and solid fiber boxes will post the fastest shipment gains through 2016, a result of their position as the shipping container of choice for a broad array of durable and nondurable goods. Though folding carton shipments will increase more slowly due to competition from other packaging formats, growth will accelerate from the performance of the 2006-2011 period based on improved manufacturing output in food and beverages in light of a strengthening economy. Good opportunities are also anticipated in such markets as chemicals and pharmaceuticals, and foodservice and carryout food. Set-up box shipments are expected to continue their long-term decline due to their higher cost relative to other box types and surging levels of imports from countries (such as China) with lower labor costs. Nonetheless, overall demand will benefit from the entrenched position of set-up boxes as upscale packaging for premium confectionery products and fragrances.

Beverages, frozen foods to be fastest growing markets

Food and beverages represent the largest single market for corrugated and paperboard boxes, accounting for 50 percent of total demand in 2011. The beverage and frozen food segments are expected to post the fastest gains, with sugar and confectionery, and grain mill product uses expected to increase more slowly. Despite sustainability efforts aimed at reducing excess packaging by eliminating boxes and cartons or reducing the amount of paperboard used in food and beverage cartons, continued high oil prices and the good environmental profile of paperbased packaging will support ongoing use of boxes in the vast food and beverage market. The durable goods and nonmanufacturing markets are expected to post above average gains through 2016, supported by a recovery in the broader economy. Moreover, a rebound in construction expenditures will drive demand for household appliances, furniture and other durable goods, as well as related boxes. The continuing popularity of online shopping will propel healthy gains for corrugated boxes used in the fulfillment of Internet sales.

Good growth expected for inks, wax-free coatings

Paperboard demand will rebound from the declines of the 2006-2011 period as output in the manufacturing sector improves. However, volume growth will be restrained by heightened use of lighter weight, high-performance containerboard in light of sustainability and cost control efforts. Among other materials used in boxes, above average growth for inks will be driven by trends favoring boxes with high-quality graphics. Healthy prospects are also expected for wax-free alternative coatings, which can provide the moisture resistance of conventional wax-coated boxes while being fully recyclable.

Study coverage

This upcoming study presents historical demand data (2001, 2006, 2011) plus forecasts for 2016 and 2021 by material, product and market. The study also considers key market environment factors, evaluates company market share and profiles 27 industry players.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

INTRODUCTION x

I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1

II. MARKET ENVIRONMENT 4

General 4

Macroeconomic Outlook 5

Demographic & Household Trends 8

Consumer Income & Spending 12

Manufacturing 15

Retail Sales 19

Internet & Catalog Sales Outlook 21

Packaging Industry Overview 24

Paper 26

Plastic 27

Metal 28

Glass & Wood 29

Competitive Packaging Materials 29

Environmental Image 33

Aesthetics 35

Historical Market Trends 36

Pricing Trends & Product Mix 39

Paperboard Pricing Trends 42

Environmental & Regulatory Issues 45

World Markets 48

Foreign Trade 49

III. MATERIALS 53

General 53

Supply & Demand 54

Unbleached Kraft Board 56

Linerboard 57

Boxboard 60

Recycled Board 60

Semichemical Board 64

Bleached Kraft Board 66

Paperboard Consumption in Boxes 69

Corrugated & Solid Fiber Boxes 71

Folding Paperboard Boxes 74

Set-Up Paperboard Boxes 77

Other Materials Consumption in Boxes 79

Adhesives 80

Inks 81

Waxes & Wax Alternatives 83

IV. PRODUCTS 86

General 86

Corrugated & Solid Fiber Boxes 90

Products 93

Capacity 95

Constructions 97

Strength Requirements 99

Mini-Flute Corrugated Boxes 100

High-Quality Printing 103

Markets 105

Folding Paperboard Boxes 108

Products 111

Windowed Paperboard Boxes 114

Printing & Design 117

Markets 119

Set-Up Paperboard Boxes 123

V. MARKETS 128

General 128

Food & Beverages 131

Food & Beverage Industry Outlook 132

Box Demand 135

Beverages 136

Meat, Poultry & Seafood 139

Grain Mill Products 142

Fresh Produce 144

Frozen Food 147

Canned Food 151

Dairy Products 153

Bakery Products 155

Candy & Confections 157

Other Food 159

Box Types 161

Nonfood Nondurable Goods 164

Paper & Publishing 165

Paper & Publishing Outlook 166

Box Demand 168

Chemical & Pharmaceutical Products 171

Chemical & Pharmaceutical Industry Outlook 172

Box Demand 175

Pharmaceuticals 177

Cosmetics & Toiletries 180

Cleaning Chemicals 183

Other Chemical Products 185

Other Nondurable Goods 186

Rubber & Plastic Products 188

Textiles & Apparel 190

Tobacco 191

All Other Nondurables 193

Durable Goods 194

Machinery & Equipment 196

Machinery & Equipment Outlook 197

Box Demand 199

Fabricated Metal Products 201

Fabricated Metal Products Outlook 201

Box Demand 203

Other Durable Goods 204

Glass & Ceramic Products 206

Furniture, Lumber & Wood Products 207

Silverware & Jewelry 208

Motor Vehicle Parts 209

Music, Entertainment & Software 210

Toys & Sporting Goods 211

Instruments & All Other Durables 213

Nonmanufacturing 214

Foodservice & Carryout 216

Retail Shipping 219

Moving, Storage & Other 220

VI. INDUSTRY STRUCTURE 222

General 222

Market Share 226

Corrugated & Solid Fiber Boxes 232

Folding Paperboard Boxes 234

Acquisitions & Divestitures 239

Manufacturing 245

Marketing 247

Distribution Strategies 249

Competitive Strategies 250

Cooperative Agreements 253

Regional Dynamics 256

Company Profiles 258

AGI-Shorewood, see Atlas Holdings

Americraft Carton Incorporated 259

Atlas Holdings LLC 260

Bell Incorporated 262

Boise Incorporated 263

Caraustar Industries Incorporated 265

CARTONDRUCK (CD), see Multi Packaging Solutions

Cascades Incorporated 267

Clearwater Paper Corporation 273

Clondalkin Group Holdings BV 275

Color-Box, see Koch Industries

Corpak, see Rock-Tenn

CorrChoice, see Greif

Fold-Pak, see Rock-Tenn

Fusion Paperboard 277

Georgia-Pacific, see Koch Industries

GMI Group, see Rock-Tenn

Graphic Packaging Holding Company 278

Green Bay Packaging Incorporated 281

Greif Incorporated 283

International Paper Company 285

Interstate Resources Incorporated 290

KapStone Paper and Packaging Corporation 292

Keller Crescent, see Clondalkin Group Holdings

Koch Industries Incorporated 295

Longview Fibre Paper and Packaging Incorporated 298

Manchester Industries, see PaperWorks Industries

MeadWestvaco Corporation 300

Menasha Corporation 305

Multi Packaging Solutions 308

Newark Group Incorporated 309

Niagara Sheets, see Cascades

Norampac, see Cascades

Packaging Corporation of America 311

PaperWorks Industries Incorporated 314

Pratt Industries, see Visy

Rock-Tenn Company 317

Rosmar Packaging, see PaperWorks Industries

RTS Packaging, see Rock-Tenn and Sonoco Products

Sierra Pacific Packaging, see Graphic Packaging Holding

Smurfit-Stone Container, see Rock-Tenn

Sonoco Products Company 324

Strive Group, see Menasha

Temple-Inland, see International Paper

THARCO Packaging, see Boise

US Corrugated Incorporated 326

Visy Pty Limited 328

Additional Companies in Corrugated & Paperboard Boxes 330

LIST OF TABLES

SECTION I -- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Summary Table 3

SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT

1 Macroeconomic Indicators 8

2 Population & Households 12

3 Personal Consumption Expenditures 15

4 Manufacturers' Shipments 18

5 Retail Sales 21

6 E-Commerce & Mail Order Shopping Sales 24

7 Packaging Supply & Demand 26

8 Corrugated & Paperboard Box Market, 2001-2011 38

9 Corrugated & Paperboard Box Pricing 42

10 Foreign Trade in Corrugated & Paperboard Boxes 52

SECTION III -- MATERIALS

1 Paperboard Supply & Demand by Type 56

2 Unbleached Kraft Board Supply & Demand 57

3 Recycled Board Supply & Demand 63

4 Semichemical Board Supply & Demand 66

5 Bleached Kraft Board Supply & Demand 68

6 Paperboard Consumption in Boxes by Grade & Box Type 70

7 Paperboard Consumption in Corrugated & Solid Fiber Boxes

by Material & Grade 74

8 Paperboard Consumption in Folding Paperboard Boxes 77

9 Paperboard Consumption in Set-Up Paperboard Boxes 78

10 Other Materials Consumption in Corrugated & Paperboard

Boxes 79

SECTION IV -- PRODUCTS

1 Corrugated & Paperboard Box Supply & Demand 89

2 Corrugated & Solid Fiber Box Supply & Demand 93

3 Corrugated & Solid Fiber Box Production by Construction 98

4 Mini-Flute Corrugated Box Shipments 102

5 Corrugated & Solid Fiber Box Demand by Market 107

6 Folding Paperboard Box Supply & Demand 111

7 Windowed Paperboard Box Shipments by Market 117

8 Folding Paperboard Box Demand by Market 122

9 Set-Up Paperboard Box Supply & Demand 126

SECTION V -- MARKETS

1 Corrugated & Paperboard Box Demand by Market 130

2 Food & Beverage Shipments 134

3 Food & Beverage Box Market 136

4 Beverage Box Market 139

5 Meat, Poultry & Seafood Box Market 142

6 Grain Mill Product Box Market 144

7 Fresh Produce Box Market 147

8 Frozen Food Box Market 151

9 Canned Food Box Market 152

10 Dairy Product Box Market 154

11 Bakery Product Box Market 157

12 Candy & Confection Box Market 159

13 Other Food Box Market 161

14 Food & Beverage Box Demand by Type 164

15 Nonfood Nondurable Goods Box Market 165

16 Paper & Publishing Shipments 168

17 Paper & Publishing Box Market 171

18 Chemical & Pharmaceutical Shipments 175

19 Chemical & Pharmaceutical Box Demand by Market & Type 177

20 Pharmaceutical Box Market 180

21 Cosmetic & Toiletry Box Market 182

22 Cleaning Chemical Box Market 184

23 Other Chemical Products Box Market 186

24 Other Nondurable Goods Box Demand by Market & Type 188

25 Durable Goods Box Demand by Market & Type 196

26 Machinery & Equipment Shipments 198

27 Machinery & Equipment Box Market 200

28 Selected Fabricated Metal Product Shipments 202

29 Metal Product Box Market 204

30 Other Durable Goods Box Demand by Market & Type 206

31 Nonmanufacturing Box Demand by Market & Type 216

SECTION VI -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

1 US Corrugated & Paperboard Box Sales by Company, 2011 225

2 Selected Acquisitions & Divestitures 243

3 Selected Cooperative Agreements 255

LIST OF CHARTS

SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT

1 Corrugated & Paperboard Box Market, 2001-2011 39

2 Paperboard Pricing, 2001-2011 45

SECTION III -- MATERIALS

1 Paperboard Consumption in Boxes by Grade, 2011 71

SECTION IV -- PRODUCTS

1 Corrugated & Paperboard Box Shipments by Type, 2001-2021 90

2 Corrugated Capacity, Year-End 2011 97

3 Corrugated & Solid Fiber Box Demand by Market, 2011 107

4 Folding Paperboard Box Demand by Market, 2011 123

5 Set-Up Paperboard Box Demand by Market, 2011 127

SECTION V -- MARKETS

1 Corrugated & Paperboard Box Demand by Market, 2011 131

SECTION VI -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

1 US Corrugated & Paperboard Box Market Share, 2011 227

2 Corrugated & Solid Fiber Box Market Share, 2011 234

3 Folding Paperboard Box Market Share, 2011 235

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