S&P/Experian Credit Default Indices Show Mainly Decreases in Default Rates
All indices show improvement in default rates over the past 12 months
NEW YORK, June 21, 2011 /PRNewswire/ -- Data through May 2011, released today by S&P Indices and Experian for the S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices, a comprehensive measure of changes in consumer credit defaults, showed first and second mortgages default rates decreased in May to 2.09% and 1.42%, respectively, from April values of 2.16% and 1.51%. Auto loans default rate went down from 1.45% in April to 1.34% in May; while bank cards experienced a slight increase from 5.91% to 5.93%.
"While we might observe volatility from month-to-month, looking at default rates over the past few years it is easy to see that consumers have come a long way in fixing their balance sheets, " says David M. Blitzer, Managing Director and Chairman of the Index Committee for S&P Indices. "All indices show default rates below where they were this time last year, and more so if you look back to 2008/2009.
"We do continue to see some differences among the cities. While Miami's high unemployment rate contributes to its high default rate compared to some of the other cities, such as New York and Chicago, it is not the only variable. The latest MSA-level unemployment data show that at about 11%, Los Angeles and Miami have unemployment rates above the national average; however, the 2.39% default rate for Los Angeles is almost half that of Miami's 5.31%. Among the other local factors affecting default rates is the aftermath of the housing bust. While both Los Angeles and Miami were among the cities with the largest home price increases, housing in southern California is doing better than housing in south Florida."
Consumer credit defaults varied across major cities and regions of the U.S. Among the five major Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) reported in this release each month, Los Angeles and New York continue to lead the way with the largest decrease in defaults rates to 2.39% and 1.94%, from 2.57% and 2.11%, respectively. Chicago and Miami were not far behind with defaults decreasing to 2.37% and 5.31%. Dallas's default rates increased modestly this month to 1.59% from 1.56%.
The table below summarizes the May 2011 results for the S&P/Experian Credit Default Indices. These data are not seasonally adjusted and are not subject to revision.
S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices National Indices |
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Index |
May 2011 Index Level |
April 2011 Index Levels |
May 2010 Index Levels |
|
Composite |
2.23 |
2.30 |
3.61 |
|
First Mortgage |
2.09 |
2.16 |
3.45 |
|
Second Mortgage |
1.42 |
1.51 |
2.41 |
|
Bank Card |
5.93 |
5.91 |
8.88 |
|
Auto Loans |
1.34 |
1.45 |
1.76 |
|
Source: S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices |
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The table below provides the S&P/Experian Consumer Default Composite Indices for the five MSAs:
Metropolitan Statistical Area |
May 2011 Index Level |
April 2011 Index Levels |
May 2010 Index Levels |
|
New York |
1.94 |
2.11 |
3.94 |
|
Chicago |
2.37 |
2.48 |
3.90 |
|
Dallas |
1.59 |
1.56 |
2.55 |
|
Los Angeles |
2.39 |
2.57 |
4.95 |
|
Miami |
5.31 |
5.40 |
9.29 |
|
Source: S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices |
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Jointly developed by S&P Indices and Experian, the S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices are published on the third Tuesday of each month at 9:00 am ET. They are constructed to accurately track the default experience of consumer balances in four key loan categories: auto, bankcard, first mortgage lien and second mortgage lien. The Indices are calculated based on data extracted from Experian's consumer credit database. This database is populated with individual consumer loan and payment data submitted by lenders to Experian every month. Experian's base of data contributors includes leading banks and mortgage companies, and covers approximately $11 trillion in outstanding loans sourced from 11,500 lenders.
For more information, please visit: www.consumercreditindices.standardandpoors.com.
About S&P Indices
S&P Indices, a part of McGraw-Hill Financial, is the world's leading index provider maintaining a wide variety of investable and benchmark indices. Over $1.25 trillion is directly indexed to Standard & Poor's family of indices, which includes the S&P 500, the world's most followed stock market index, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, the S&P Global BMI, an index with approximately 11,000 constituents, the S&P GSCI, the industry's most closely watched commodities index, and the S&P National AMT-Free Municipal Bond Index, the premier investable index for U.S. municipal bonds. For more information, please visit www.standardandpoors.com/indices.
Standard & Poor's does not sponsor, endorse, sell or promote any S&P index-based investment product. The S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices are products of S&P Indices, which operates independently of Standard & Poor's Ratings Group. Standard & Poor's Ratings Group plays no role in the compilation, distribution or licensing of the Indices.
About Experian Capital Markets
Formed as a response to market needs, Experian Capital Markets leverages Experian's comprehensive U.S. consumer and business databases to provide data and analytics to serve the transparency needs of the structured finance market participants. By taking underlying borrower data and applying advanced analytics, Experian provides insight into U.S. consumer and business credit behavior across all obligations, helping to forecast future payment patterns on prepayments, delinquencies, charge-offs or defaults for non-agency residential mortgage–backed securities and other asset-backed securities.
About Experian
Experian is the leading global information services company, providing data and analytical tools to clients in more than 90 countries. The company helps businesses to manage credit risk, prevent fraud, target marketing offers and automate decision making. Experian also helps individuals to check their credit report and credit score and protect against identity theft.
Experian plc is listed on the London Stock Exchange (EXPN) and is a constituent of the FTSE 100 index. Total revenue for the year ended March 31, 2010, was $3.9 billion. Experian employs approximately 15,000 people in 40 countries and has its corporate headquarters in Dublin, Ireland, with operational headquarters in Nottingham, UK; Costa Mesa, California; and São Paulo, Brazil.
For more information, visit http://www.experianplc.com.
Experian and the marks used herein are service marks or registered trademarks of Experian Information Solutions, Inc. Other product and company names mentioned herein may be the trademarks of their respective owners.
For more information: |
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Dave Guarino Standard & Poor’s Communications 212-438-1471 |
David Blitzer Standard & Poor’s Chairman of the Index Committee 212-438-3907 |
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Susan Henson Experian Public Relations 714-830-5129 |
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