NEW YORK, March 18, 2011 /PRNewswire/ -- The latest Harris Poll finds that President Obama's positive job rating has slipped for the second month running. In January he recorded his best rating (44%) since 2009, but it edged downwards to 42% in February and 39% now. The public's rating of Congress has also slumped, with fully 90% of all adults now giving it a negative rating, compared to 86% in February and 84% in January.
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Another indication of the public's sour mood is that those who think the country is on the wrong track have increased by 8 points from 64% in February to 72% now.
These are some of the results of The Harris Poll of 2,379 adults surveyed online between March 7 and 14, 2011 by Harris Interactive.
Trends in approval
The president's current job rating (39% positive) is only slightly better than the lowest ratings of his presidency which occurred during the last three months of last year, at 37%, 38% and 36%. His rating is still strongly correlated with education, with only 29% of people who never went to college giving him positive marks compared to 54% of people with post graduate education and 47% of those with a college degree.
The ratings of Congress have, in recent years, only once been as bad as they are now. In March 2010 Congress also had a negative 90% job rating.
The last time that the proportion of the public who think the country is on the wrong track was higher than it is now was in 2008, before President Obama was elected and the country was reeling from the crisis on Wall Street.
So What?
While some Republicans, with their eyes on the 2012 elections, may be pleased to see the President's rating slip, there are no winners in this poll. Rather, the poll underlines the poor opinions that most people have of Washington and especially of Congress, where the Republicans are in control of the House. This is not totally a partisan divide, but rather where all Americans have negative views.
TABLE 1 PRESIDENT OBAMA'S JOB RATING - TREND "How would you rate the overall job President Barack Obama is doing?" Base: All adults |
||||||||||
2009 |
||||||||||
Mar |
April |
May |
June |
Aug |
Sept |
Oct |
Nov |
Dec |
||
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
||
POSITIVE |
55 |
58 |
59 |
54 |
51 |
49 |
45 |
43 |
41 |
|
Excellent |
17 |
18 |
17 |
14 |
11 |
11 |
10 |
9 |
7 |
|
Pretty good |
38 |
40 |
42 |
39 |
39 |
38 |
35 |
33 |
33 |
|
NEGATIVE |
45 |
42 |
41 |
46 |
49 |
51 |
55 |
57 |
59 |
|
Only fair |
27 |
26 |
25 |
25 |
25 |
25 |
27 |
29 |
30 |
|
Poor |
18 |
15 |
16 |
21 |
24 |
26 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
|
2010 |
2011 |
|||||||||||||
Jan |
Mar |
April |
May |
June |
Aug |
Sept |
Oct |
Nov |
Dec |
Jan |
Feb |
March |
||
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
||
POSITIVE |
40 |
41 |
41 |
42 |
39 |
40 |
38 |
37 |
38 |
36 |
44 |
42 |
39 |
|
Excellent |
9 |
9 |
9 |
10 |
6 |
9 |
9 |
8 |
8 |
7 |
10 |
11 |
8 |
|
Pretty good |
31 |
32 |
31 |
32 |
33 |
31 |
29 |
29 |
30 |
28 |
34 |
32 |
31 |
|
NEGATIVE |
60 |
59 |
59 |
58 |
61 |
60 |
62 |
63 |
62 |
64 |
56 |
58 |
61 |
|
Only fair |
30 |
28 |
26 |
28 |
29 |
26 |
28 |
30 |
29 |
31 |
28 |
29 |
29 |
|
Poor |
30 |
31 |
33 |
30 |
32 |
34 |
34 |
33 |
33 |
34 |
29 |
29 |
32 |
|
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding |
||||||||||||||
TABLE 2 PRESIDENT OBAMA'S JOB RATING – BY PARTY & IDEOLOGY "How would you rate the overall job President Barack Obama is doing?" Base: All adults |
||||||||
Total |
Political party |
Political Philosophy |
||||||
Rep. |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Cons. |
Mod. |
Lib. |
|||
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
||
POSITIVE |
39 |
11 |
69 |
33 |
12 |
43 |
72 |
|
Excellent |
8 |
1 |
16 |
5 |
2 |
7 |
18 |
|
Pretty good |
31 |
10 |
53 |
28 |
10 |
36 |
53 |
|
NEGATIVE |
61 |
89 |
31 |
67 |
88 |
57 |
28 |
|
Only fair |
29 |
29 |
24 |
33 |
25 |
34 |
21 |
|
Poor |
32 |
60 |
7 |
34 |
62 |
23 |
7 |
|
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding |
||||||||
TABLE 3 PRESIDENT OBAMA'S JOB RATING – BY REGION, EDUCATION & GENDER "How would you rate the overall job President Barack Obama is doing?" Base: All adults |
||||||||||||
Total |
Region |
Education |
Gender |
|||||||||
East |
Midwest |
South |
West |
H.S. or less |
Some college |
College grad |
Post grad |
Men |
Women |
|||
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
||
POSITIVE |
39 |
45 |
36 |
34 |
41 |
29 |
42 |
47 |
54 |
36 |
41 |
|
Excellent |
8 |
6 |
5 |
11 |
7 |
5 |
10 |
6 |
14 |
7 |
8 |
|
Pretty good |
31 |
39 |
31 |
23 |
34 |
23 |
32 |
41 |
40 |
28 |
33 |
|
NEGATIVE |
61 |
55 |
64 |
66 |
59 |
71 |
58 |
53 |
46 |
64 |
59 |
|
Only fair |
29 |
30 |
29 |
27 |
30 |
33 |
29 |
23 |
26 |
30 |
28 |
|
Poor |
32 |
25 |
34 |
38 |
29 |
38 |
29 |
30 |
21 |
35 |
30 |
|
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding |
||||||||||||
TABLE 4 CONGRESS' OVERALL JOB RATING "How would you rate the overall job Congress is doing?" Base: All adults |
|||||
Total |
Political Party |
||||
Rep. |
Dem. |
Ind. |
|||
% |
% |
% |
% |
||
POSITIVE |
10 |
9 |
14 |
5 |
|
Excellent |
1 |
1 |
1 |
* |
|
Pretty good |
9 |
8 |
13 |
5 |
|
NEGATIVE |
90 |
91 |
86 |
95 |
|
Only fair |
45 |
45 |
51 |
38 |
|
Poor |
45 |
46 |
35 |
57 |
|
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding; * indicates less than .05% |
|||||
TABLE 5 CONGRESS' OVERALL JOB RATING – TREND "How would you rate the overall job the Congress is doing?" Base: All adults |
||||
TREND |
Positive* |
Negative** |
||
% |
% |
|||
2011 |
March |
10 |
90 |
|
February |
14 |
86 |
||
January |
16 |
84 |
||
2010 |
December |
11 |
89 |
|
November |
13 |
87 |
||
October |
11 |
89 |
||
September |
13 |
87 |
||
August |
15 |
85 |
||
June |
14 |
86 |
||
May |
15 |
85 |
||
April |
16 |
84 |
||
March |
10 |
90 |
||
Jan. |
16 |
84 |
||
2009 |
Dec. |
17 |
83 |
|
Oct. |
16 |
84 |
||
Sept. |
19 |
81 |
||
Aug. |
22 |
78 |
||
June |
25 |
75 |
||
March |
29 |
71 |
||
2008 |
October |
10 |
86 |
|
August |
18 |
77 |
||
June |
13 |
83 |
||
February |
20 |
76 |
||
2007 |
December |
17 |
79 |
|
October |
20 |
77 |
||
April |
27 |
69 |
||
February |
33 |
62 |
||
2006 |
September |
24 |
73 |
|
May |
18 |
80 |
||
February |
25 |
71 |
||
January |
25 |
72 |
||
*Positive = excellent or pretty good. **Negative = only fair or poor. Note: Prior to March, 2009, this question was asked by telephone. |
||||
TABLE 6 RIGHT DIRECTION OR WRONG TRACK "Generally speaking, would you say things in the country are going in the right direction or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track?" Base: All adults |
||||
TREND |
Right Direction |
Wrong Track |
||
% |
% |
|||
2011 |
March |
28 |
72 |
|
February |
36 |
64 |
||
January |
37 |
63 |
||
2010 |
December |
29 |
71 |
|
November |
33 |
67 |
||
October |
34 |
66 |
||
September |
36 |
64 |
||
April |
39 |
61 |
||
March |
33 |
67 |
||
2009 |
August |
46 |
54 |
|
January |
19 |
72 |
||
2008 |
October |
11 |
83 |
|
February |
23 |
69 |
||
2007 |
December |
18 |
74 |
|
February |
29 |
62 |
||
2006 |
May |
24 |
69 |
|
February |
32 |
59 |
||
2005 |
November |
27 |
68 |
|
January |
46 |
48 |
||
2004 |
September |
38 |
57 |
|
June |
35 |
59 |
||
2003 |
December |
35 |
57 |
|
June |
44 |
51 |
||
2002 |
December |
36 |
57 |
|
June |
46 |
48 |
||
2001 |
December |
65 |
32 |
|
June |
43 |
52 |
||
2000 |
October |
50 |
41 |
|
June |
40 |
51 |
||
1999 |
June |
37 |
55 |
|
March |
47 |
45 |
||
1998 |
December |
43 |
51 |
|
June |
48 |
44 |
||
1997 |
December |
39 |
56 |
|
April |
36 |
55 |
||
1996 |
December |
38 |
50 |
|
June |
29 |
64 |
||
1995 |
December |
26 |
62 |
|
June |
24 |
65 |
||
1994 |
December |
29 |
63 |
|
June |
28 |
65 |
||
1993 |
June |
21 |
70 |
|
March |
39 |
50 |
||
1992 |
June |
12 |
81 |
|
January |
20 |
75 |
||
1991 |
December |
17 |
75 |
|
January |
58 |
32 |
||
Methodology
This Harris Poll was conducted online within the United States between March 7 to 14, 2011 among 2,379 adults (aged 18 and over). Figures for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, region and household income were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents' propensity to be online.
All sample surveys and polls, whether or not they use probability sampling, are subject to multiple sources of error which are most often not possible to quantify or estimate, including sampling error, coverage error, error associated with nonresponse, error associated with question wording and response options, and post-survey weighting and adjustments. Therefore, Harris Interactive avoids the words "margin of error" as they are misleading. All that can be calculated are different possible sampling errors with different probabilities for pure, unweighted, random samples with 100% response rates. These are only theoretical because no published polls come close to this ideal.
Respondents for this survey were selected from among those who have agreed to participate in Harris Interactive surveys. The data have been weighted to reflect the composition of the adult population. Because the sample is based on those who agreed to participate in the Harris Interactive panel, no estimates of theoretical sampling error can be calculated.
These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.
The results of this Harris Poll may not be used in advertising, marketing or promotion without the prior written permission of Harris Interactive.
J39773
Q1205, 1210, 1215
The Harris Poll® #37, March 18, 2011
By Humphrey Taylor, Chairman, The Harris Poll
About Harris Interactive
Harris Interactive is one of the world's leading custom market research firms, leveraging research, technology, and business acumen to transform relevant insight into actionable foresight. Known widely for the Harris Poll and for pioneering innovative research methodologies, Harris offers expertise in a wide range of industries including healthcare, technology, public affairs, energy, telecommunications, financial services, insurance, media, retail, restaurant, and consumer package goods. Serving clients in over 215 countries and territories through our North American, European, and Asian offices and a network of independent market research firms, Harris specializes in delivering research solutions that help us – and our clients – stay ahead of what's next. For more information, please visit www.harrisinteractive.com.
Press Contact: |
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Corporate Communications |
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Harris Interactive |
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212-539-9600 |
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SOURCE Harris Interactive
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