Homes in Short Supply as Home Shopping Season Kicks Off

There are 3 percent fewer homes on the market than a year ago, with the median home value hitting its highest point since June 2007, according to Zillow's February Real Estate Market Reports

- U.S. home values rose 6.9 percent over the past year to a Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) of $195,700 in February.

- Rents rose 1.2 percent over the past year to a Zillow Rent Index (ZRI) of $1,406 per month.

- Inventory shortages will be a big concern for buyers going into home shopping season -- there are about 3 percent fewer homes for sale this year than last.

- Minneapolis, Cincinnati and Detroit reported the greatest drop in homes for sale over the past year.

- Mortgage rates on Zillow ended February at 3.89 percent, down from 4.01 percent at the start of the month.

News provided by

Zillow

Mar 23, 2017, 08:00 ET

SEATTLE, March 23, 2017 /PRNewswire/ -- Home values across the country are up 7 percent since last February, with 3 percent fewer homes to choose from than a year ago, making for another competitive home shopping season. The median U.S. home value is $195,700, according to the February Zillow® Real Estate Market Reports^ⁱ, the highest value since June 2007.

Tampa, Fla., Seattle, Dallas and Orlando, Fla. reported the highest year-over-year home value appreciation among the 35 largest metros across the country, all growing in the double-digits. In Tampa, home values rose almost 12 percent to a median home value of $182,100. Home values in both Seattle and Dallas are up 11 percent since last February. High buyer demand coupled with fewer homes for sale is driving home values higher in many of these markets -- there are 5 percent fewer homes to choose from than a year ago in Tampa and 11 percent fewer in Orlando.

Across the country there are 3 percent fewer homes on the market than a year ago and many places with rapidly rising home values have inventory shortages in the double-digits. In Seattle, for example, home values are up 11 percent but the selection of homes down 10.5 percent. Millennials will have a big impact on this year's home shopping season as they start aging into homeownership, especially in booming job markets that are attractive to young homebuyers.

"Low inventory, strong demand and tough competition will be the defining characteristics of this year's home shopping season," said Zillow Chief Economist Dr. Svenja Gudell. "Even though interest rates are rising, buyers are eager to start their home search. If you're a prospective buyer about to enter the market, keep in mind that it's rare to get the first home you make an offer on, and homes in particularly hot markets frequently sell for over asking price. Buyers should give themselves enough time to get their finances in order and find a real estate agent they know and trust before jumping into the market."

National median rent across the nation is up 1.2 percent since last February, to a median payment of $1,406 per month. Seattle, Portland and Sacramento, Calif. reported the highest year-over-year rent appreciation among the 35 largest U.S. housing markets. Rents in Seattle are up 7 percent to a Zillow Rent Indexⁱⁱ(ZRI) of $2,100. Rents in both Portland and Sacramento are up 5 percent.

Minneapolis, Cincinnati and Detroit reported the greatest drop in inventory since last February. In Minneapolis, there are 18 percent fewer homes on the market than a year ago, and 15 percent fewer in Cincinnati.

In February, mortgage ratesⁱⁱⁱon Zillow ended at 3.89 percent, down from a high of 4.01 percent at the start of the month. The month low was 3.86 percent^iv. Zillow's real-time mortgage rates are based on thousands of custom mortgage quotes submitted daily to anonymous borrowers on the Zillow Mortgages site and reflect the most recent changes in the market.

Purchase mortgage requests on Zillow are up 7 percent compared to this time last year, indicating that borrowers are moving forward with plans to buy a home amidst rising interest rates. On the other hand, the refinance market is more rate-sensitive, and refinance requests on Zillow are down 69 percent compared to this time last year.

Metropolitan Area	Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI)	Year-over- Year ZHVI Change	Zillow Rent Index (ZRI)	Year-over- Year ZRI Change	Year-over-Year Inventory Change
United States	$ 195,700	6.9%	$ 1,406	1.2%	-2.6%
New York/Northern New Jersey	$ 407,600	7.0%	$ 2,391	-0.7%	-7.0%
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA	$ 599,400	6.4%	$ 2,642	4.8%	-1.8%
Chicago, IL	$ 207,500	6.4%	$ 1,619	-1.5%	-7.5%
Dallas-Fort Worth, TX	$ 203,400	11.1%	$ 1,565	3.4%	4.1%
Philadelphia, PA	$ 215,400	4.6%	$ 1,568	0.4%	-7.3%
Houston, TX	$ 175,200	4.5%	$ 1,547	-2.2%	3.1%
Washington, DC	$ 382,400	3.9%	$ 2,114	-0.1%	-8.5%
Miami-Fort Lauderdale, FL	$ 248,600	8.9%	$ 1,854	0.2%	16.2%
Atlanta, GA	$ 175,200	7.6%	$ 1,335	3.7%	2.8%
Boston, MA	$ 416,100	6.4%	$ 2,342	4.0%	-11.8%
San Francisco, CA	$ 839,600	4.5%	$ 3,354	0.1%	6.4%
Detroit, MI	$ 137,500	10.0%	$ 1,175	2.3%	-14.4%
Riverside, CA	$ 321,400	6.7%	$ 1,754	2.9%	-10.5%
Phoenix, AZ	$ 231,700	6.3%	$ 1,309	3.3%	6.2%
Seattle, WA	$ 420,200	11.2%	$ 2,100	7.2%	-10.5%
Minneapolis-St Paul, MN	$ 239,700	7.1%	$ 1,566	3.8%	-18.0%
San Diego, CA	$ 529,200	5.4%	$ 2,452	4.3%	-4.4%
St. Louis, MO	$ 149,900	7.1%	$ 1,132	0.3%	-8.0%
Tampa, FL	$ 182,100	11.6%	$ 1,347	2.9%	-5.4%
Baltimore, MD	$ 259,000	4.2%	$ 1,720	-0.2%	-12.1%
Denver, CO	$ 359,100	9.3%	$ 1,998	1.4%	12.1%
Pittsburgh, PA	$ 135,600	5.3%	$ 1,068	-3.8%	-4.0%
Portland, OR	$ 358,700	9.2%	$ 1,804	5.4%	10.1%
Charlotte, NC	$ 169,500	7.0%	$ 1,248	1.5%	-7.5%
Sacramento, CA	$ 357,700	7.7%	$ 1,709	5.2%	-4.4%
San Antonio, TX	$ 158,100	6.0%	$ 1,323	1.6%	16.4%
Orlando, FL	$ 201,900	10.4%	$ 1,396	3.4%	-10.6%
Cincinnati, OH	$ 150,500	6.4%	$ 1,254	2.2%	-14.9%
Cleveland, OH	$ 132,100	4.9%	$ 1,141	1.2%	-2.1%
Kansas City, MO	$ 154,600	5.5%	$ 1,251	2.2%	-10.4%
Las Vegas, NV	$ 217,800	10.1%	$ 1,247	2.0%	23.3%
Columbus, OH	$ 161,000	4.5%	$ 1,293	1.3%	-13.0%
Indianapolis, IN	$ 137,100	5.3%	$ 1,184	-0.2%	-10.3%
San Jose, CA	$ 979,400	3.9%	$ 3,449	-0.7%	-0.9%
Austin, TX	$ 264,800	7.0%	$ 1,694	0.0%	24.0%

Zillow
Zillow® is the leading real estate and rental marketplace dedicated to empowering consumers with data, inspiration and knowledge around the place they call home, and connecting them with the best local professionals who can help. In addition, Zillow operates an industry-leading economics and analytics bureau led by Zillow's Chief Economist Dr. Svenja Gudell. Dr. Gudell and her team of economists and data analysts produce extensive housing data and research covering more than 450 markets at Zillow Real Estate Research. Zillow also sponsors the quarterly Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey, which asks more than 100 leading economists, real estate experts and investment and market strategists to predict the path of the Zillow Home Value Index over the next five years. Zillow also sponsors the bi-annual Zillow Housing Confidence Index (ZHCI) which measures consumer confidence in local housing markets, both currently and over time. Launched in 2006, Zillow is owned and operated by Zillow Group (NASDAQ:Z and ZG), and headquartered in Seattle.

Zillow and Zestimate are registered trademarks of Zillow, Inc.

ⁱThe Zillow Real Estate Market Reports are a monthly overview of the national and local real estate markets. The reports are compiled by Zillow Real Estate Research. For more information, visit www.zillow.com/research/. The data in Zillow's Real Estate Market Reports are aggregated from public sources by a number of data providers for 928 metropolitan and micropolitan areas dating back to 1996. Mortgage and home loan data are typically recorded in each county and publicly available through a county recorder's office. All current monthly data at the national, state, metro, city, ZIP code and neighborhood level can be accessed at www.zillow.com/local-info/ and www.zillow.com/research/data.
ⁱⁱ The Zillow Rent Index (ZRI) is the median Rent Zestimate® (estimated monthly rental price) for a given geographic area on a given day, and includes the value of all single-family residences, condominiums, cooperatives and apartments in Zillow's database, regardless of whether they are currently listed for rent. It is expressed in dollars.
ⁱⁱⁱ Rates for a 30-year fixed mortgage.
^iv Month high occurred on February 21, while the month low occurred on February 3^rd.

SOURCE Zillow