NEW YORK, April 5, 2012 /PRNewswire/ -- A new Harris Poll examines the issue of inequality and whether or not it has potential traction in the presidential and congressional elections this fall. The results show that it could well be an important issue because a majority of Americans believe that inequality is a "major problem" and that it is important "that the government introduce policies to reduce inequality". Furthermore, large majorities of the public believe that major causes of inequality include the influence of both big business and the rich on government policies, and that increasing taxes on the very rich would be "fair" and "the right thing to do."
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However, the poll also finds that the issue is not a slam-dunk for President Obama and the Democrats. Only 39% of all adults believe that President Obama would, as president, do the best job of addressing the issue of inequality. And only a modest 38% to 23% plurality believes that the Democrats would do a better job than the Republicans.
These are some of the results of The Harris Poll of 2,451 adults surveyed online between March 12 and 19, 2012 by Harris Interactive.
The key findings of this poll include:
- Only 10% of adults (and only 19% of Republicans) think that economic inequality is "not a problem at all". Most people think it is either a major problem (57%) or a minor problem (23%);
- Most people (62%), including 43% of Republicans and 60% of Independents, think it is important that "the government introduce policies to reduce inequality in the U.S.", and 34% think this is very important;
- Inequality is thought to have many causes including the loss of manufacturing jobs to China, India and other countries (81%), the influence of big business (78%) and the very rich (76%) on government, and the tax system (77%);
- A 60% majority thinks that taxes on the middle class are too high, while most people think that taxes are too low on the people with incomes of $1 million (62%) and on billionaires (69%); and,
- Most people think that "increasing taxes on the very rich" would be fair (70%), be the right thing to do (69%), and would help to reduce the budget deficit (64%). Only 32% of all adults think that "it would hurt the economy because they are the ones who create jobs".
In other words, most people agree with positions taken by President Obama and Democrats on the issue of inequality.
However, other findings of this Harris Poll suggest that it may not be easy for the President's camp to turn these feelings into votes. When asked which party would be likely to do a better job of addressing the issue of inequality, the Democrats only lead by 38% to 23%, with fully 39% saying an "other party" or that they are not sure. And, when asked which of the presidential candidates would do the best job of addressing inequality, only 39% choose President Obama, while 36% choose one of the current Republican candidates, and 26% are not sure.
So What?
Over the last few months much has been said and written on the issue of inequality. Attention has been focused on the fact that inequality – and specifically the gap between the very rich and the middle class – have been increasing in the U.S. and are now wider here than in many other countries. It has been suggested that Americans were more willing than people in other developed countries to accept this inequality, in part because they felt they and their children had a good chance of being upwardly mobile and participating in the American Dream. Furthermore, those who talked about inequality have often been accused of "class warfare".
This Harris Poll suggests that inequality is now an issue that resonates with most Americans, including most Independents and many Republicans, and which has the potential to be very helpful to the Democrats in the November elections. However – and this may be the biggest surprise in the poll – most people do not believe that the Democrats or President Obama would do a better job than the Republicans on this issue. If the Democrats want to win votes on this issue they have much work to do before most people accept their case.
TABLE 1
ECONOMIC INEQUALITY AS A PROBLEM OR NOT
"Do you think that economic inequality in the U.S. today is a major problem, a minor problem or not a problem at all?"
Base: All adults
Total |
Political Party |
Philosophy |
Gender |
||||||
Rep. |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Cons. |
Mod. |
Lib. |
Male |
Female |
||
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Major problem |
57 |
38 |
74 |
56 |
34 |
60 |
82 |
53 |
60 |
Minor problem |
23 |
33 |
16 |
24 |
31 |
24 |
9 |
26 |
20 |
Not a problem at all |
10 |
19 |
2 |
11 |
23 |
6 |
2 |
13 |
7 |
Not at all sure |
10 |
10 |
8 |
9 |
12 |
10 |
8 |
7 |
13 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding
TABLE 2
GOVERNMENT INVOLVEMENT
"How important do you think it is that the government introduce policies to reduce inequality in the U.S.?"
Base: All adults
Total |
Political Party |
Philosophy |
|||||
Rep. |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Cons. |
Mod. |
Lib. |
||
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Important (NET) |
62 |
43 |
81 |
60 |
39 |
65 |
87 |
Very important |
34 |
18 |
51 |
32 |
19 |
33 |
60 |
Somewhat important |
28 |
25 |
30 |
28 |
20 |
32 |
27 |
Not important (NET) |
26 |
47 |
11 |
30 |
46 |
23 |
6 |
Not very important |
12 |
17 |
8 |
12 |
15 |
13 |
4 |
Not at all important |
15 |
30 |
3 |
18 |
31 |
10 |
2 |
Not at all sure |
12 |
10 |
8 |
10 |
15 |
12 |
7 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding
TABLE 3
CAUSES OF INEQUALITY
"How much do you think that each of the following is a cause of inequality in the U.S. today?"
Base: All adults
Great deal/ |
A great |
Somewhat |
Not very much/ |
Not very |
Not at all |
Not at all |
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
The loss of manufacturing jobs to China, India and other low cost countries |
81 |
55 |
26 |
11 |
6 |
5 |
9 |
The influence of big business on government policies |
78 |
55 |
23 |
13 |
7 |
5 |
9 |
The tax system |
77 |
49 |
28 |
15 |
9 |
5 |
9 |
The influence of very rich people on government policy |
76 |
56 |
21 |
16 |
10 |
6 |
8 |
The failure of the public school systems to educate many people |
73 |
40 |
33 |
18 |
13 |
5 |
9 |
Globalization of the world economy |
68 |
27 |
40 |
20 |
14 |
7 |
12 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding
TABLE 4
CAUSES OF INEQUALITY
"How much do you think that each of the following is a cause of inequality in the U.S. today?"
Those saying "A great deal" or "Somewhat"
Base: All adults
Total |
Political Party |
Philosophy |
|||||
Rep. |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Cons. |
Mod. |
Lib. |
||
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
The loss of manufacturing jobs to China, India and other low cost countries |
81 |
84 |
83 |
82 |
78 |
82 |
81 |
The influence of big business on government policies |
78 |
70 |
88 |
79 |
64 |
83 |
86 |
The tax system |
77 |
73 |
85 |
76 |
68 |
80 |
82 |
The influence of very rich people on government policy |
76 |
66 |
90 |
75 |
60 |
81 |
88 |
The failure of the public school systems to educate many people |
73 |
74 |
76 |
75 |
72 |
73 |
73 |
Globalization of the world economy |
68 |
67 |
73 |
68 |
65 |
69 |
69 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding
TABLE 5
TAXES TOO HIGH OR LOW FOR GROUPS OF PEOPLE
"Do you think that taxes on each of the following groups of people are currently fair, or are they too high or low?"
Base: All adults
Too high |
Fair |
Too low |
Not at all |
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Poor people |
49 |
29 |
11 |
11 |
The middle class |
60 |
30 |
2 |
8 |
People with incomes of $200,000 per year |
15 |
37 |
35 |
13 |
People with incomes of $1,000,000 per year |
10 |
18 |
62 |
11 |
Billionaires |
7 |
15 |
69 |
9 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding
TABLE 6
TAXES TOO HIGH OR LOW FOR GROUPS OF PEOPLE
Summary of those saying "Too high"
"Do you think that taxes on each of the following groups of people are currently fair, or are they too high or low?"
Base: All adults
Total |
Political Party |
Philosophy |
|||||
Rep. |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Cons. |
Mod. |
Lib. |
||
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Poor people |
49 |
35 |
64 |
42 |
33 |
53 |
60 |
The middle class |
60 |
58 |
64 |
60 |
58 |
61 |
59 |
People with incomes of $200,000 per year |
15 |
22 |
8 |
17 |
23 |
12 |
9 |
People with incomes of $1,000,000 per year |
10 |
14 |
4 |
12 |
18 |
7 |
5 |
Billionaires |
7 |
10 |
4 |
8 |
14 |
5 |
3 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding
TABLE 7
TAXES TOO HIGH OR LOW FOR GROUPS OF PEOPLE
Summary of those saying "Too low"
"Do you think that taxes on each of the following groups of people are currently fair, or are they too high or low?"
Base: All adults
Total |
Political Party |
Philosophy |
|||||
Rep. |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Cons. |
Mod. |
Lib. |
||
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Poor people |
11 |
18 |
3 |
13 |
21 |
7 |
4 |
The middle class |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
People with incomes of $200,000 per year |
35 |
22 |
48 |
32 |
23 |
39 |
44 |
People with incomes of $1,000,000 per year |
62 |
46 |
78 |
57 |
39 |
69 |
77 |
Billionaires |
69 |
54 |
85 |
66 |
47 |
76 |
83 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding
TABLE 8
INCREASING TAXES ON THE VERY RICH
"How much do you agree or disagree that increasing taxes on the very rich would…"
Base: All adults
Agree |
Strongly |
Somewhat |
Disagree |
Somewhat |
Strongly |
Not at all |
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Be fair |
70 |
44 |
26 |
23 |
10 |
13 |
8 |
Be the right thing to do |
69 |
45 |
24 |
23 |
10 |
13 |
8 |
Help reduce the budget deficit |
64 |
35 |
29 |
27 |
12 |
15 |
9 |
Hurt the economy because they are the ones create jobs |
32 |
15 |
17 |
58 |
26 |
32 |
10 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding
TABLE 9
INCREASING TAXES ON THE VERY RICH
"How much do you agree or disagree that increasing taxes on the very rich would…"
Summary of those saying "Strongly agree" or "Somewhat agree"
Base: All adults
Total |
Political Party |
Philosophy |
|||||
Rep. |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Cons. |
Mod. |
Lib. |
||
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Be fair |
70 |
52 |
90 |
66 |
49 |
76 |
85 |
Be the right thing to do |
69 |
52 |
88 |
65 |
47 |
76 |
83 |
Help reduce the budget deficit |
64 |
48 |
83 |
59 |
44 |
69 |
78 |
Hurt the economy because they are the ones create jobs |
32 |
52 |
17 |
35 |
55 |
26 |
13 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding
TABLE 10
ADDRESSING THE ISSUE OF INEQUALITY
"Which political party do you think is likely to do a better job of addressing issues of unfairness and inequality?"
Base: All adults
Total |
Political Party |
Philosophy |
|||||
Rep. |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Cons. |
Mod. |
Lib. |
||
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Democratic Party |
38 |
8 |
79 |
27 |
14 |
42 |
66 |
Republican Party |
23 |
59 |
4 |
17 |
47 |
16 |
5 |
Other |
10 |
6 |
2 |
21 |
11 |
10 |
8 |
Not at all sure |
29 |
27 |
15 |
35 |
28 |
32 |
20 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding
TABLE 11
BEST PRESIDENT TO ADDRESS THE ISSUE OF INEQUALITY
"As President, who do you think would do the best job of addressing the issue of inequality?"
Base: All adults
Total |
Political Party |
Philosophy |
|||||
Rep. |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Cons. |
Mod. |
Lib. |
||
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
President Barack Obama |
39 |
6 |
74 |
32 |
12 |
43 |
69 |
Republican candidates (NET) |
36 |
67 |
11 |
40 |
60 |
30 |
12 |
Mitt Romney |
11 |
23 |
4 |
11 |
17 |
11 |
3 |
Ron Paul |
11 |
12 |
4 |
18 |
13 |
11 |
5 |
Rick Santorum |
9 |
22 |
1 |
6 |
19 |
5 |
3 |
Newt Gingrich |
5 |
10 |
2 |
5 |
11 |
3 |
1 |
Not at all sure |
26 |
26 |
15 |
28 |
27 |
27 |
18 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding
Methodology
This Harris Poll was conducted online within the United States between March 12 and 19, 2012 among 2,451 adults (aged 18 and over). Figures for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, region and household income were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents' propensity to be online.
All sample surveys and polls, whether or not they use probability sampling, are subject to multiple sources of error which are most often not possible to quantify or estimate, including sampling error, coverage error, error associated with nonresponse, error associated with question wording and response options, and post-survey weighting and adjustments. Therefore, Harris Interactive avoids the words "margin of error" as they are misleading. All that can be calculated are different possible sampling errors with different probabilities for pure, unweighted, random samples with 100% response rates. These are only theoretical because no published polls come close to this ideal.
Respondents for this survey were selected from among those who have agreed to participate in Harris Interactive surveys. The data have been weighted to reflect the composition of the adult population. Because the sample is based on those who agreed to participate in the Harris Interactive panel, no estimates of theoretical sampling error can be calculated.
These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.
The results of this Harris Poll may not be used in advertising, marketing or promotion without the prior written permission of Harris Interactive.
J41436
Q915, 920, 925, 940, 943, 945, 948
The Harris Poll® #37, April 5, 2012
By Humphrey Taylor, Chairman, The Harris Poll
About Harris Interactive
Harris Interactive is one of the world's leading custom market research firms, leveraging research, technology, and business acumen to transform relevant insight into actionable foresight. Known widely for the Harris Poll and for pioneering innovative research methodologies, Harris offers expertise in a wide range of industries including healthcare, technology, public affairs, energy, telecommunications, financial services, insurance, media, retail, restaurant, and consumer package goods. Serving clients in over 215 countries and territories through our North American and European offices and a network of independent market research firms, Harris specializes in delivering research solutions that help us – and our clients – stay ahead of what's next. For more information, please visit www.harrisinteractive.com.
Press Contact:
Corporate Communications
Harris Interactive
212-539-9600
[email protected]
SOURCE Harris Interactive
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