NEW YORK, June 8, 2011 /PRNewswire/ -- A new BBC World News America/Harris Poll finds that a majority of Americans (52%) believe that the United States should move to get its troops out of Afghanistan now that Osama bin Laden is dead. However, 35% believe that U.S. troops should stay according to the existing plans. Reasons why most people favor withdrawing U.S. troops may be that a 51% to 14% majority of adults are not confident that U.S. policies in Afghanistan will be successful, and only 19% see the Afghan government as either an ally or a friend to the U.S. and 36% see it as unfriendly and an enemy.
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These are some of the findings of a new BBC World News America/Harris Poll of 2,027 U.S. adults surveyed online between May 31 and June 2, 2011 by Harris Interactive.
Other interesting findings in the poll include:
- A large 66% to 20% majority of adults believes that it was better to have killed Osama bin Laden than to have captured him;
- An even larger 66% to 18% majority believe that "if the United States has very reliable information that a nationally wanted terrorist or criminal like Osama bin Laden is located in a foreign country.... that we have the right to perform a military operation within that country without notifying the government";
- The public is split on the impact of the killing of bin Laden on world opinion, with 41% thinking that it has made the United States more respected and 41% thinking has made no difference. Only 7% believe that it has made the U.S. less respected;
- Israel continues to enjoy very strong support among Americans, with 41% of adults seeing it as a close ally and a further 30% as a friend;
- The fall of Hosni Mubarak in Egypt have done nothing to improve U.S. attitudes to its government. In fact those who see the government of Egypt as a close ally or friend (43%) are somewhat lower now than when this question was asked in 2009 (52%) and 2010 (49%);
- More people see Pakistan as unfriendly and an enemy (29%) than as a friend or ally (20%); and,
- Many more people see the governments of Iraq and Afghanistan as unfriendly and enemies (38% and 36% respectively) than as friends or allies (22% and 19%). Attitudes to these two countries are only marginally less negative than they are to the government of Syria (16% friend or ally and 38% unfriendly and an enemy).
So What?
The killing of Osama bin Laden has done little to change the generally negative attitudes of Americans to the role of U.S. troops in Afghanistan. Only 14% of adults are confident that U.S. policies there will be successful, virtually unchanged since two Harris polls in June and October last year.
Perhaps the most surprising findings in this poll are that many more people regard the governments of Afghanistan and Iraq as unfriendly and an enemy than as friends or allies, even though they were brought to power as a result of the U.S. invasions and have been kept in power by the presence of US troops.
TABLE 1 PREFER BIN LADEN CAPTURED OR KILLED "President Obama recently announced that in a secret military operation, following a fire-fight, Osama bin Laden was shot and killed by U.S. Navy SEALs. Do you think that the Navy SEALs should have captured bin Laden alive, or was it better that they killed him?" Base: All U.S. adults |
||||||
Total |
Age |
|||||
18-34 |
35-44 |
45-54 |
55+ |
|||
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
||
Better to have killed him (NET) |
66 |
54 |
64 |
63 |
79 |
|
Definitely better to have killed him |
41 |
27 |
39 |
45 |
53 |
|
Probably better to have killed him |
25 |
28 |
26 |
18 |
26 |
|
Better to have captured him (NET) |
20 |
28 |
21 |
19 |
11 |
|
Probably better to have captured him |
11 |
16 |
8 |
11 |
7 |
|
Definitely better to have captured him |
9 |
13 |
14 |
8 |
4 |
|
Not sure |
14 |
17 |
14 |
18 |
9 |
|
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding |
||||||
TABLE 2 AGREEMENT ABOUT THE UNITED STATES' RIGHT TO PERFORM MILITARY OPERATIONS IN OTHER COUNTRIES "If the United States has very reliable information that a nationally wanted terrorist or criminal like Osama bin Laden is located in a foreign country, do you agree or disagree that we have the right to perform a military operation within that country, without notifying its government?" Base: All U.S. adults |
||||||
Total |
Age |
|||||
18-34 |
35-44 |
45-54 |
55+ |
|||
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
||
Agree (NET) |
66 |
58 |
67 |
65 |
75 |
|
Strongly agree |
41 |
30 |
41 |
40 |
51 |
|
Somewhat agree |
26 |
28 |
26 |
25 |
24 |
|
Disagree (NET) |
18 |
24 |
17 |
16 |
14 |
|
Somewhat disagree |
12 |
14 |
11 |
13 |
9 |
|
Strongly disagree |
6 |
10 |
7 |
4 |
5 |
|
Not sure |
15 |
18 |
16 |
18 |
11 |
|
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding |
||||||
TABLE 3 IMPACT ON TROOPS IN AFGHANISTAN "Given the fact that Osama bin Laden has now been killed, do you think that the United States should move to get U.S. military personnel out of Afghanistan faster than has been planned, or not?" U.S. military personnel should… Base: All U.S. adults |
|||||||
Total |
Gender |
Education |
|||||
Male |
Female |
H.S. or less |
Some college |
College grad + |
|||
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
||
Should get out faster (NET) |
52 |
49 |
55 |
52 |
52 |
52 |
|
Should get out immediately |
18 |
16 |
21 |
19 |
20 |
15 |
|
Should get out somewhat faster |
34 |
32 |
35 |
32 |
32 |
37 |
|
Should stay according to plans |
35 |
43 |
27 |
33 |
35 |
36 |
|
Not sure |
13 |
8 |
18 |
15 |
13 |
11 |
|
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding |
|||||||
TABLE 4 U.S. RESPONSE WITH REGARD TO PAKISTAN "Given that Osama bin Laden had been living in Pakistan for several years, which of the following, if any, do you think the United States should do now that he has been killed?" Base: All U.S. adults |
||||||
Total |
Age |
|||||
18-34 |
35-44 |
45-54 |
55+ |
|||
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
||
Make aid to Pakistan conditional on Pakistan's cooperation in pursuing Al Qaeda and Taliban within their country |
56 |
51 |
51 |
53 |
65 |
|
Cut off all aid to Pakistan |
22 |
19 |
26 |
24 |
22 |
|
Cut off some aid to Pakistan |
9 |
12 |
10 |
8 |
7 |
|
None of these |
12 |
18 |
13 |
15 |
5 |
|
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding |
||||||
TABLE 5 RESPECT FOR THE U.S. AROUND THE WORLD "After Osama bin Laden was killed by U.S. Navy SEALs, do you think the U.S. is now more or less respected around the world?" Base: All U.S. adults |
||||||
Total |
Age |
|||||
18-34 |
35-44 |
45-54 |
55+ |
|||
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
||
More respected (NET) |
41 |
38 |
39 |
40 |
47 |
|
Much more respected |
16 |
12 |
13 |
18 |
20 |
|
Somewhat more respected |
25 |
26 |
26 |
22 |
27 |
|
No change |
41 |
40 |
44 |
39 |
42 |
|
Less respected (NET) |
7 |
8 |
7 |
8 |
6 |
|
Somewhat less respected |
5 |
7 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
|
Much less respected |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
|
Not sure |
11 |
14 |
10 |
14 |
6 |
|
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding |
||||||
TABLE 6A ATTITUDES OF U.S. ADULTS TOWARD VARIOUS COUNTRIES "Thinking of the governments of these countries – do you believe each government is a close ally of the United States, a friend but not a close ally, is not friendly but not an enemy, or is unfriendly and an enemy of the United States?" Base: U.S. Adults |
|||||||
A close ally/ A friend but not a close ally (NET) |
A close ally |
A friend but not a close ally |
Not friendly but not an enemy |
Unfriendly and an enemy |
|||
Israel |
% |
71 |
41 |
30 |
22 |
7 |
|
Egypt |
% |
43 |
6 |
38 |
45 |
12 |
|
Iraq |
% |
22 |
2 |
20 |
39 |
38 |
|
Pakistan |
% |
20 |
2 |
18 |
51 |
29 |
|
Afghanistan |
% |
19 |
2 |
17 |
45 |
36 |
|
Syria |
% |
16 |
2 |
14 |
46 |
38 |
|
Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding. |
|||||||
TABLE 6B COUNTRIES THAT ARE CLOSE ALLIES OR FRIENDS OF U.S. – TREND "Thinking of the governments of these countries – do you believe each government is a close ally of the United States, a friend but not a close ally, is not friendly but not an enemy, or is unfriendly and an enemy of the United States?" Summary of those saying "a close ally" or "a friend but not a close ally" Base: U.S. Adults |
||||||
August 2006 |
December 2007 |
November 2009 |
October 2010 |
May 2011 |
||
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
||
Israel |
75 |
67 |
74 |
69 |
71 |
|
Egypt |
45 |
46 |
52 |
49 |
43 |
|
Iraq |
18 |
19 |
23 |
23 |
22 |
|
Pakistan |
n/a |
26 |
27 |
21 |
20 |
|
Afghanistan |
23 |
23 |
21 |
18 |
19 |
|
Syria |
8 |
14 |
15 |
14 |
16 |
|
n/a = Not asked |
||||||
TABLE 7A CONFIDENCE IN POLICIES IN AFGHANISTAN "How confident are you that U.S. policies in Afghanistan will be successful?" Base: All U.S. adults |
||||||
Total |
Age |
|||||
18-34 |
35-44 |
45-54 |
55+ |
|||
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
||
Confident |
14 |
16 |
17 |
15 |
11 |
|
Not confident |
51 |
48 |
46 |
46 |
58 |
|
Not sure |
35 |
36 |
37 |
39 |
32 |
|
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding |
||||||
TABLE 7B CONFIDENCE IN POLICIES IN AFGHANISTAN – TREND "How confident are you that U.S. policies in Afghanistan will be successful?" Base: All Adults |
|||||||||||
July 2005 |
May 2007 |
August 2008 |
April 2009 |
Sept 2009 |
Nov 2009 |
Jan 2010 |
June 2010 |
Oct 2010 |
June 2011 |
||
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
||
Confident |
25 |
22 |
17 |
27 |
14 |
12 |
15 |
12 |
12 |
14 |
|
Not confident |
45 |
41 |
54 |
40 |
55 |
61 |
53 |
55 |
60 |
51 |
|
Not sure |
30 |
37 |
29 |
33 |
31 |
28 |
32 |
34 |
28 |
35 |
|
Note: Percentages may not add up exactly to 100% due to rounding. |
|||||||||||
Methodology
This BBC World News America/Harris Poll was conducted online within the United States between May 31 and June 2, 2011 among 2,027 adults (aged 18 and over). Figures for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, region and household income were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population. Where appropriate, this data were also weighted to reflect the composition of the adult online population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents' propensity to be online.
All sample surveys and polls, whether or not they use probability sampling, are subject to multiple sources of error which are most often not possible to quantify or estimate, including sampling error, coverage error, error associated with nonresponse, error associated with question wording and response options, and post-survey weighting and adjustments. Therefore, Harris Interactive avoids the words "margin of error" as they are misleading. All that can be calculated are different possible sampling errors with different probabilities for pure, unweighted, random samples with 100% response rates. These are only theoretical because no published polls come close to this ideal.
Respondents for this survey were selected from among those who have agreed to participate in Harris Interactive surveys. The data have been weighted to reflect the composition of the adult population. Because the sample is based on those who agreed to participate in the Harris Interactive panel, no estimates of theoretical sampling error can be calculated.
These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.
The results of this Harris Poll may not be used in advertising, marketing or promotion without the prior written permission of Harris Interactive.
The Harris Poll® #69, June 8, 2011
By Humphrey Taylor, Chairman, The Harris Poll
About Harris Interactive
Harris Interactive is one of the world's leading custom market research firms, leveraging research, technology, and business acumen to transform relevant insight into actionable foresight. Known widely for the Harris Poll and for pioneering innovative research methodologies, Harris offers expertise in a wide range of industries including healthcare, technology, public affairs, energy, telecommunications, financial services, insurance, media, retail, restaurant, and consumer package goods. Serving clients in over 215 countries and territories through our North American, European, and Asian offices and a network of independent market research firms, Harris specializes in delivering research solutions that help us – and our clients – stay ahead of what's next. For more information, please visit www.harrisinteractive.com.
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Press Contact:
Corporate Communications
Harris Interactive
212-539-9600
[email protected]
SOURCE Harris Interactive
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