The Rechargeable Battery Market 2011-2025, 21st Edition

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More than 710 slides and 1 400 tables detailed market for almost 15 years, customers ask for our expertise and proficiency. Without being pretentious we are happy to say that our forecasts are the most accurate in the whole industry.

Applications analyzed : Cellular phones, Automotive HEV, P-HEV & EV, Portable PCs, Tablets, Power tools, Digital cameras, Cordless phones, Toys, Security Lighting systems, Household devices, E-bikes, Portable HDD & Flash music players, Video games

Avicenne Profil

Methodology

Comparison with other consultants

The worldwide battery (lead acid, NiCd, NiMH & Li-ion) market 1990-2010 (M$)

Worldwide Battery Sales by Chemistry, units, 1995-2011

Worldwide Battery Sales by Chemistry, MWh, 1995-2011

Worldwide Rechargeable Battery Market (NiCd, NiMH, Li-ion) by chemistry, M$, 1995-2011

NiCd, NiMH, Li-ion and Lithium Polymer main characteristics NiCd, NiMH, Li-ion main characteristics NiCd, NiMH & Li-ion product performances : Wh/kg & Wh/l Advantages of each battery technology

Battery suppliers' market shares in 2011

Japanese, Chinese & Korean market share, in value, 2011

Market share in value & growth 2009/2011 for Japan, China & Korean Battery Industry

NiCd Battery: Market share in 2011 in volume & value worldwide

NiMH Battery: Market share in 2011 in volume & value worldwide

Li-ion & Polymer Battery: Market share in 2011 in volume & value worldwide

Li-ion cylindrical: Market share in 2011 in volume & value worldwide

Li-ion Prismatic & Pol: Market share in 2011 in volume & value worldwide

Market share in value, growth 2009-2011 & market value for NiCd, NiMH & Li-ion business

Major Li-ion manufacturers quarterly production 2001-2011: Sony, Sanyo, MBI, Sanyo GS, NEC, Maxell, BYD, LG Chem, SDI, Lishen

Major Li—ion manufacturers quarterly production 2001-2011: Sony, Sanyo, MBI, Sanyo GS, NEC, Maxell, BYD, LG Chem, SDI, Lishen

Li—ion manufacturers yearly production (M cells / year) for Li-ion Cylindrical, Li-ion Prismatic & Lithium Polymer: Sony, Sanyo, MBI, Sanyo GS, NEC, Maxell, BYD, LG Chem, SDI, Lishen & others

Battery makers: 2011 sales in M cells by chemistry: : Sony, Sanyo, MBI, Sanyo GS, NEC, Maxell, BYD, LG Chem, SDI, Lishen, Yuaza Delta, Gold Peak,

Battery makers: 2011 sales in M $ by chemistry: : Sony, Sanyo, MBI, Sanyo GS, NEC, Maxell, BYD, LG Chem, SDI, Lishen, Yuaza Delta, Gold Peak, Battery Industry in 2011: NiCd, NiMH & Li-ion competitors market share in value

Main applications in 2011

key markets for NiCd in 2011: power tools, rc/cars & Toys, household devices, security lighting, E-bikes value (M$)

Key markets for NiMH from 2001 to 2011: weight of cellular phones & other applications

nimh battery main application in 2009 & 2011 in value: hev, retail, power tools, cordless phones,

Li-ion & Polymer Battery sales by application, in volume (M cells), Worldwide, 2000-2011: cellular phones, portable pcs, camcorders, digital cameras, power tools, mp3, video games,

Li-ion & Polymer Battery sales by application, in value (M $), Worldwide, 2000-2011: cellular phones, portable pcs, camcorders, digital cameras, power tools, mp3, video games,

Raw materials in the battery business

Production cost for Japanese, Chinese & Korean makers for 543450 cell in Q4-2011

Profit level compare to cobalt price on a quarterly basis from 2009 to 2011

Cobalt & Nickel price in $/kg from 2003 to 2011

NiMH battery performances (capacity in mAh) 1998-2011

NiMH major developments

Li-ion battery performances (Energy density in Wh/L & Wh/kg) 1994-2011

Lithium ion value chain

Battery maker roadmaps for higher CAPACITY (Portable PCs)

CATHODE ACTIVE MATERIAL FOR Li-ion

Examples of new Li-ion cells produced in 2011, cathode & anode Characteristics

Major axes of development for new cathodes: LiMn2O4, LiFePO3, Li[NixMnyCoz]O2, Li[NixCozMnAl]O2 (NCA-NCM)

Specific capacity (mAh/g) & Discharge voltage for different cathode active material

LiCoO2, LiMn2O4, LiFePO3, Li[NixMnyCoz]O2, Li[NixCozMnAl]O2 (NCA-NCM) main Characteristics

LFP patents & licensees

Cobalt needs (tons) for NiCd, NiMH & Li-ion batteries

Cobalt production worldwide 2004-2010 by suppliers

Cobalt demand Worldwide (Tons) 2000-2011,

Cobalt demand Worldwide (Tons) 2000-2011, by application

Cobalt consumption in 2009 & 2011 by application: batteries, supper alloys, chemical, pigments, diamond tools, hard metal, magnets,

Nickel consumption in 2011 by application: Industrials, Transport, Commercial, batteries,

Cathode Active material needs for cylindrical & prismatic Li-ion batteries, Tons, 2000-2011,

Cathode Active material needs, Tons, 2000-2011, for LiCoO2, LiMn2O4, LiFePO3, Li[NixMnyCoz]O2, Li[NixCozMnAl]O2 (NCA-NCM)

Cathode Active material needs (% & Tons) for each battery makers: sanyo, sony, mbi, sdi, lgc, lishen, sgs, nec, maxell, e-one

Cathode Active material Suppliers market share: A123, BYD, Chemetal, FMC Lithium, Matsushita, Mitsui Mining, Mitsui Zozen, Nichia Corp, Nikki Chemical, Nippon Chemical, Nippon denko, Phostech/Sud-Chemie, Seido Chem, Seimi Chemical, Sony (Miyagi), Sumitomo Metal Mining, Tanaka chem, Toda Kogyo Corp, Toronox, Umicore Korea

LiCoO2 suppliers & their customers

LiMn2O4 suppliers & their customers

NMC suppliers & their customers

NCA/NCM suppliers & their customers

LiMPO4 suppliers & their customers 2004-2011 Cathode active materials market share trends Cathode active material forecasts 2000-2020 Cobalt needs for Li-ion cells, in tons, 2000-2020 ANODE ACTIVE MATERIAL FOR Li-ion Negative materials for lithium secondary batteries Anode active materials in 2011 by anode type Anode developments for sanyo, sony, Panasonic, SDI, LG Anode active materials suppliers for each battery maker: Hitachi Chemical, JFE Chemical, Kansai Netsu Kagaku, Mitsubishi Chemical, Mitsui Mining, Nippon Carbon, Osaka Gas Chemical, Others, Shanshan Tech, Shenzhen BTR, Sumitomo Metal Anode active materials suppliers market share, in volume Natural Graphite suppliers/CUSTOMERS ARTIFICIAL Graphite Anode active materials forecast 2000 – 2020, in volume (tons) Anode active materials forecast 2000 – 2020, in value (m$) Separators Separator market (M m²) 1995-2011 Main suppliers strengths: Tonen, Celgard, Asahi, Separators characteristics Separator makers & their customers: Tonen, Celgard, Asahi, Ube, Sumitomo, SK, Entek Separator suppliers market share in volume Separator average price Separator market forecast 2000 – 2020 (volume, Mm²) Separator market forecast 2000 – 2020 (VALUE, M$) ELECTROLYTE Electrolyte Market in volume (Tons / years) 1995-2011 Electrolyte suppliers market share in volume (2003-2011): Ube, Panax-Etec, Mitsubishi chemical, Tomiyama, Zhangjiagang Guotai Ronghua, BYD, Electrolyte makers & their customers Electrolyte market forecast 2000 – 2020 (volume, tons) Electrolyte market forecast 2000 – 2020 (VALUE, M$) LiPF6 suppliers & their customer LiPF6 market (Tons) 1999-2011 Developments in Nanostructure materials Lithium ion raw material Roadmap 2000-2030

Battery size & capacity trends

18650 cells by capacity in 2009 & 2011

Cylindrical Li-ion cell size in 2011

18650 cells capacity 1Q2004-4Q 2011

Ratio of Li-ion cylindrical & Prismatic in volume (1997-2011)

Ratio of Li-ion cylindrical & Prismatic in Vamue (1997-2011)

Li-Polymer cells demand in volume (1998-2025)

Li-Polymer cells demand in value (1998-2025)

Li-polymer cells demand, in volume (M cells) 1998-2025, by application: Cellular, Tablets, Portable PCs, PDA, Video Games, MP3, Others

Li-polymer cells demand, in Value (M $) 1998-2025, by application: Cellular, Portable PCs, Tablets, PDA, Video Games, MP3, Others

Economical trends Cells' average price in 2011 NiCd, NiMH, Li-ion & Li-Polymer Average cells price in 2011 ($) NiCd, NiMH, Li-ion cylindrical, Li-ion prismatic & Li-Polymer Average energy price in 2011 ($/Wh) Average price per Cell by chemistry 2000-2011: NiCd, NiMH, Li-ion, Li-Polymer Detail of NiCd & NiMH prices per size in 2011 NiCd: AAA, AA, C, Sub C, D & F size NiMH: AAA, AA, C, Sub C, D Average price per Cell by chemistry 2000-2011: NiCd, NiMH, Li-ion, Li-Polymer ($/Wh) Li-ion 18650 price decrease 1996-2011 Li-ion price decrease 1996-2011 Li-ion cylindrical price decrease 1996-2011 Li-ion Prismatic price decrease 1996-2011 Li-ion Polymer price decrease 1996-2011 18650 cells price by capacity 1Q 2004 – 4Q 2011 Prismatic cells price by size 1Q 2004 – 4Q 2011 Prismatic prices & production cost (Material, Depreciation, R&D, Labor, SGA, Operating profit) for JAPANESE, KOREAN & CHINESE Makers Operating profit / Revenues ratio for main Li-ion suppliers 2002 - 2011: SANYO, SONY, PANASONIC, SDI, LG, BYD, SGS, NEC, MAXELL

Regulation trends

Basic Chemical composition of primary & rechargeable batteries

NiCd Regulation

Two opposing stands on regulation

European Community (DG XI)

EPBA: European Portable Battery Association

New Battery Directive main impacts on Batteries business

POSITIVE ASPECTS

NEGATIVE IMPACTS

The RoHS & WEEE Directives

The New Chemicals Policy « REACH »

Future Battery regulation in EUROPE

SAFETY issues Sony's Li-ion battery Failure Number of pack involved, by PC makers Major Brand involved REASON OF THE FAILURE COST FOR SONY in M$ Impact on Operational profit of Sony Group Real estimated COST FOR SONY in M$ by different sources: SONY, GOLDMAN & SACHS, REUTERS, AVICENNE DEVELOPPEMENT Sony: Number of cells sold 2003-2011 worldwide sony: numbver of cells sold 2003-2011 for portable pcs worldwide Sony's failure impact on the battery business Sony main customers in 2011 number of cells bought by PC makers to SONY in 2009 & in 2011 Dell & Toshiba battery suppliers in 2009 & 2011 Li-ion Safety issues Main issues for Li-ion Incident worldwide 2000-2011 New incidents in 2011 Major developments worldwide The IEEE Standards Association

Parameters analysis

Main segment trends: Portable PCs, Cellular, Tablets…

Power need trends (volume, weight, capacity, running time)

Penetration rate for each Chemistry 2011 & 2020 Forecasts

Battery maker, PC maker and cellular maker strategies and positions

Market and competitive environment (Detail in the full report) Cellular Phones, Cellular Phones Shipment, M units, 1995-2011 Cellular Phones Battery pack by chemistry, % in volume, 1995-2011 Portable PCs, Portable PCs Shipment, M units, 1995-2011 Portable PCs Battery pack by chemistry, % in volume, 1995-2011 Tablets Tablets sold (Million) 2009-2011 Tablets market forecasts 2009-2020 Camcorders Camcorders Shipment, M units, 1998-2011 Analog Camcorder Battery pack by chemistry, % in volume, 1998-2011 Digital Camcorder Battery pack by chemistry, % in volume, 1998-2011 Power tools Power Tools Shipment, M units, 1998-2011 Power Tools Battery pack by chemistry, % in volume, 1998-2011 Digital Camera Digital Camera Shipment, M units, 1998-2011 Digital Camera Battery pack by chemistry, % in volume, 1998-2011 Video games Games Shipment, M units, 2000-2011 Games Battery pack by chemistry, % in volume, 2000-2011 MP3 players & portable HDD MP3 Shipment, M units, 2000-2011 MP3 Battery pack by chemistry, % in volume, 2000-2011 Toys & RC Cars RC Cars & Toys Shipment, M units, 1999-2011 RC Cars & Toys Battery pack by chemistry, % in volume, 1999-2011 Cordless Phones Cordless Phones Shipment, M units, 1998-2011 Cordless Phones Battery pack by chemistry, % in volume, 1998-2011 Household devices Battery sold for household devices, M cells, 2000-2011 by chemistry E-bikes E-bikes Shipment, M units, 1997-2011 E-bikes Battery pack by chemistry, % in volume, 1998-2011 Automotive

HEV Shipment, ' 000 units, 2002-2020

HEV Battery pack by chemistry, % in volume, 2002-2011

HEV Battery market in M$, 2000-2020

P-HEV market, '000 Units, 2011-2020

P-HEV Battery market in M$, 2000-2020

EV markety, '000 Units, 2011-2020

EV Battery market in M$, 2000-2020

FORECASTS UP TO 2011 & 2020 Worldwide battery market in volume (M cells) by chemistry: NiCd, NiMH, Li-ion & Li-Polymer (1995 - 2025) Worldwide battery market in value (M$) by chemistry: NiCd, NiMH, Li-ion & Li-Polymer (1990 - 2020) Battery Market by application (Cellular Phones, Portable PCs, Power Tools, Automotive) & chemistry in volume for 2000, 2006, 2011 & 2025 Battery Market by application (Camcorders, DSC, Games, MP3, PDA) & chemistry in volume for 2000, 2006, 2011 & 2025 Battery Market by application (Household, Security, RC Car & Toys, E-bikes, Cordless Phones) & chemistry in volume for 2000, 2006, 2011 & 2025 Battery Market by application (Cellular Phones, Portable PCs, Power Tools, Automotive) & chemistry in value (M$) for 2000, 2006, 2011 & 2025 Battery Market by application (Camcorders, DSC, Games, MP3, PDA) & chemistry in value (M$) for 2000, 2006, 2011 & 2025 Battery Market by application (Household, Security, RC Car & Toys, E-bikes, Cordless Phones) & chemistry in value (M$) for 2000, 2006, 2011 & 2025 NiMH market (M cells) 2000, 2006, 2011, 2025 by application Li-ion & Pol market (M cells) 2000, 2006, 2011, 2025 by application NiMH market (M $) 2000, 2006, 2011, 2025 by application Li-ion & Pol market (M $) 2000, 2006, 2011, 2025 by application

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