The Brazilian Defense Industry: Market Opportunities and Entry Strategies, Analyses and Forecasts to 2017
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Product Synopsis
This report is the result of ICD Research / Strategic Defence Intelligence's extensive market and company research covering the Brazilian defense industry. It provides detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values including key growth stimulators, analysis of the leading companies in the industry, and key news.
Introduction and Landscape
The Brazilian defense Industry Market Opportunities and Entry Strategies, Analyses and Forecasts to 2017 offers the reader an insight into the market opportunities and entry strategies adopted by foreign original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) to gain market share in the Brazilian defense industry.
What is the current market landscape and what is changing? US$38.27 billion US$2.87 billion Brazil US$195 What are the key drivers behind recent market changes? Brazil Brazil What makes this report unique and essential to read?Market Opportunity and Attractiveness.
The report provides detailed analysis of the current industry size and growth expectations from 2013 to 2017, including highlights of key growth stimulators. It also benchmarks the industry against key global markets and provides a detailed understanding of emerging opportunities in specific areas.
Procurement Dynamics.
The report includes trend analysis of imports and exports, together with their implications and impact on the Brazilian defense industry.
Industry Structure.
The report covers five forces analysis to identify various power centers in the industry and how these are expected to develop in the future.
Market Entry Strategy.
The report allows readers to identify possible ways to enter the market, together with detailed descriptions of how existing companies have entered the market, including key contracts, alliances, and strategic initiatives.
Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights.
The report helps the reader to understand the competitive landscape of the defense industry in Brazil. It provides an overview of key defense companies, both domestic and foreign, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis.
Key Market Issues
Complying with Brazil's requirement for extensive technology transfer.
Brazil has a strict offset obligation for defense deals equivalent to 100% of the contract value. This has proved a challenge for foreign OEMs whose government have a policy of limited technology transfer, including the US-based company Boeing. Moreover, Brazil's offset policy requires that defense contracts use domestic companies for the manufacture and assembly of defense systems.
Delay in the closure of defense deals and low allocation for capital defense expenditure. Brazil Key HighlightsBrazilian annual defense expenditure valued US$38.27 billion in 2012. Brazil US$23.81 billion US$38.27 billion US$155 billion Brazil Brazil expected to invest US$3 billion in homeland security during the forecast period. Brazil Europe was the largest supplier of aircraft components to Brazil over the review period. Brazil Israel Spain Brazil is expected to increase its aircraft exports, supported by increased technology and component procurements from Europe. Table of Contents1 Introduction 1.1. What is this Report About? 1.2. Definitions 1.3. Summary Methodology 1.4. SDI Terrorism Index 1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence (www.strategicdefenceintelligence.com) 2 Executive Summary 3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities 3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast 3.1.1. Brazilian annual defense expenditure valued US$XX billion in 2012 3.1.2. Modernization of defense systems, development of indigenous defense capabilities, and protection of the Amazon region expected to drive defense expenditure 3.1.3. Defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP is expected to average XX% during the forecast period 3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation 3.2.1. The majority of Brazil's defense budget is allocated for revenue expenditure 3.2.2. Expenditure for weapons acquisition to reach US$XX billion by 2017 3.2.3. Brazil to place focus on defense procurements across the army, navy and air force 3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast 3.3.1. Brazil expected to invest US$XX billion in homeland security during the forecast period 3.3.2. Protection of natural resources and improvement of security for Brazilian sporting events expected to stimulate homeland security expenditure 3.3.3. SDI Terrorism Index rates Brazil to be a "low risk" region 3.3.4. Brazil faces minimal threat from terrorists 3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets 3.4.1. Brazil defense expenditure is expected to grow faster than the majority of largest global defense budgets 3.4.2. Brazil set to continue its high defense expenditure 3.4.3. Brazil expected to spend an average of XX% of its GDP on defense over the forecast period 3.4.4. Brazil faces "low risk" by acts of terrorism 3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators 3.5.1. Procurement of fighter jets and transport aircrafts expected to drive defense expenditure 3.5.2. Indigenous development of submarines is expected to increase naval procurements 3.5.3. Amazon protection program to increase use of satellite based imaging systems 3.5.4. Demand for tactical transport helicopters to increase over the forecast period 4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics 4.1. Import Market Dynamics 4.1.1. Europe was the largest supplier of aircraft components to Brazil over the review period 4.1.2. Modernization of defense systems expect to drive arms imports 4.1.3. Stringent offset obligations in a highly competitive market 4.1.4. Missiles, armored vehicles and sensors are most imported military hardware 4.2. Export Market Dynamics 4.2.1. Development of domestic defense capability is expected to fuel exports in Brazil's emerging military industry 4.2.2. Customized aircraft systems expected to drive exports during the forecast period 4.2.3. Ships and armored vehicles are the main exported defense products 5 Industry Dynamics 5.1. Five Forces Analysis 5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: low to medium 5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: medium to high 5.1.3. Barrier to entry: medium 5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: low to medium 5.1.5. Threat of substitution: high 6 Market Entry Strategy 6.1. Market Regulation 6.1.1. Defense deals for domestic and international procurements are decided by competitive bidding 6.1.2. Stringent offsets requirements for all defense procurements 6.2. Market Entry Route 6.2.1. Foreign OEMs follow direct offset route to enter defense market 6.3. Key Challenges 6.3.1. Complying with Brazil's requirement for extensive technology transfer 6.3.2. Delay in the closure of defense deals and low allocation for capital defense expenditure 7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights 7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview 7.2. Key Domestic Companies 7.2.1. Embraer: overview 7.2.2. Embraer: products and services 7.2.3. Embraer: recent announcement and strategic initiatives 7.2.4. Embraer - alliances 7.2.5. Embraer: recent contract wins 7.2.6. Embraer - financial analysis 7.2.7. Forjas Taurus SA: overview 7.2.8. Forjas Taurus SA: products and services 7.2.9. Forjas Taurus SA: recent announcement and strategic initiatives 7.2.10. Forjas Taurus SA: alliances 7.2.11. Forjas Taurus SA: recent contract wins 7.2.12. Forjas Taurus SA: financial analysis 7.2.13. AvibrasIndustria Aerospacial: overview 7.2.14. AvibrasIndustria Aerospacial: products and services 7.2.15. AvibrasIndustria Aerospacial: recent announcement and strategic initiatives 7.2.16. AvibrasIndustria Aerospacial: alliances 7.2.17. AvibrasIndustria Aerospacial: recent contract wins 7.2.18. Companhia Brasileira de Cartuchos : overview 7.2.19. Companhia Brasileira de Cartuchos : products and services 7.2.20. Companhia Brasileira de Cartuchos : recent announcement and strategic initiatives 7.2.21. Companhia Brasileira de Cartuchos : recent contract wins 7.2.22. Helibras: overview 7.2.23. Helibras: products and services 7.2.24. Helibras: recent announcement and strategic initiatives 7.2.25. Helibras: alliances 7.2.26. Helibras: recent contract wins 7.2.27. Helibras: financial analysis 7.2.28. Industria de Material Belico do Brasil (IMBEL): overview 7.2.29. Industria de Material Belico do Brasil (IMBEL) : products and services 7.2.30. Industria de Material Belico do Brasil (IMBEL): recent announcement and strategic initiatives 7.2.31. Industria de Material Belico do Brasil (IMBEL): alliances 7.2.32. Industria de Material Belico do Brasil (IMBEL): recent contract wins 7.2.33. Industria de Material Belico do Brasil (IMBEL): financial analysis 7.2.34. Aeroelectronica : overview 7.2.35. Aeroelectronica: products and services 7.2.36. Aeroelectronica: recent announcement and strategic initiatives 7.2.37. Aeroelectronica: alliances 7.2.38. Aeroelectronica : recent contract wins 7.2.39. Indústria Naval do Ceará: overview 7.2.40. Indústria Naval do Ceará: products and services 7.2.41. Indústria Naval do Ceará: recent announcement and strategic initiatives 7.2.42. Indústria Naval do Ceará: recent contract wins 7.2.43. Northrop Grumman: overview 7.2.44. Northrop Grumman: products and services 7.2.45. Northrop Grumman: recent announcement and strategic initiatives 7.2.46. Northrop Grumman: alliances 7.2.47. Northrop Grumman: recent contract wins 7.2.48. EADS Brazil: overview 7.2.49. EADS Brazil: products and services 7.2.50. EADS Brazil: recent announcement and strategic initiatives 7.2.51. EADS Brazil: alliances 7.2.52. EADS Brazil: recent contract wins 7.2.53. Lockheed Martin: overview 7.2.54. Lockheed Martin: products and services 7.2.55. Lockheed Martin: recent announcement and strategic initiatives 7.2.56. Lockheed Martin: alliances 7.2.57. Lockheed Martin: recent contract wins 8 Business Environment and Country Risk 8.1. Demographics and Social Statistics 8.1.1. Population - Female 8.1.2. Population - Male 8.2. Economic Performance 8.2.1. Construction Output, Current Prices, Local Currency 8.2.2. Construction Output, Current Prices, US Dollars 8.2.3. Current Account Balance as Percentage of GDP 8.2.4. Debt-Service Ratio 8.2.5. Deposit Interest Rate 8.2.6. Exports of goods and services, current prices, US Dollars 8.2.7. External Debt as Percentage of GDP (%) 8.2.8. Fiscal Balance as a percentage of GDP 8.2.9. Foreign Direct Investment, US Dollars 8.2.10. GDP at Purchasing Power Parity 8.2.11. GDP, Constant Prices (Brazilian Real) 8.2.12. GDP, Constant Prices (US Dollars) 8.2.13. GDP, Current Prices (Local Currency) 8.2.14. GDP, Current Prices (US Dollars) 8.2.15. General Government Final Consumption Expenditure 8.2.16. Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Current Prices 8.2.17. Imports of goods and services 8.2.18. Inflation, average consumer prices 8.2.19. Interest Rate Lending 8.2.20. Manufacturing Output, Current Prices (Brazilian Real Bn) 8.2.21. Manufacturing Output, Current Prices (US$ Billions) 8.2.22. Market cap of Stock Exchange (US$ Mn) 8.2.23. US$- Exchange Rate (Annual Average) 8.2.24. US$- Exchange Rate (EoP) 8.2.25. Wholesale Price Index 8.3. Energy and Utilities 8.3.1. Crude Oil Distillation Capacity 8.3.2. Electricity Exports 8.3.3. Electricity Imports 8.3.4. Electricity Installed Capacity 8.3.5. Fossil Fuels Proved natural gas reserves 8.3.6. Fossil Fuels- Proved oil reserves 8.3.7. Hydroelectricity Installed Capacity 8.3.8. Natural Gas Consumption 8.3.9. Natural Gas Imports 8.3.10. Natural Gas Production 8.3.11. Net Conventional Thermal Electricity Generation 8.3.12. Net Geothermal, Solar, Wind, and Wood Electric Power Generation 8.3.13. Net Hydroelectric Power Generation 8.3.14. Nuclear Electricity Net Generation 8.3.15. Petroleum, Consumption 8.3.16. Petroleum, Production 8.4. Labour 8.4.1. People Employed in R and D 8.5. Minerals 8.5.1. Coal Consumption 8.5.2. Coal Production 8.6. Social and Political Risk 8.6.1. Political Stability Index 8.6.2. Transparency Index 8.7. Technology 8.7.1. Fixed Broadband Internet Subscribers 8.7.2. Gross Domestic Expenditure on Research and Development as % of GDP 8.7.3. Patents Granted 8.7.4. Software Patents 9 Appendix 9.1. Contact Us 9.2. About SDI 9.3. Disclaimer
List of Tables
Table 1: Brazilian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2008-2012
Table 2: Brazilian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2013-2017
Table 3: Brazilian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2008-2012
Table 4: Brazilian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2013-2017
Table 5: Brazilian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2008-2012
Table 6: Brazilian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2013-2017
Table 7: Brazilian Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2008-2012
Table 8: Brazilian Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2013-2017
Table 9: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2007-2011 vs. 2012-2016
Table 10: SDI Terrorism Index
Table 11: Brazil - Offset Guidelines and Agreements
Table 12: Embraer - Product focus
Table 13:Embraer - Alliances
Table 14:Embraer - Recent Contract Wins
Table 15: Forjas Taurus SA - Product focus
Table 16: Forjas Taurus SA - Alliances
Table 17:Embraer - Recent Contract Wins
Table 18: AvibrasIndustriaAerospacial - Product focus
Table 19: AvibrasIndustriaAerospacial - Alliances
Table 20: AvibrasIndustriaAerospacial - Recent Contract Wins
Table 21: CompanhiaBrasileira de Cartuchos - Product focus
Table 22: CompanhiaBrasileira de Cartuchos (CBC) - Recent Contract Wins
Table 23: Helibras- Product focus
Table 24: Helibras- Alliances
Table 25: Helibras- Recent Contract Wins
Table 26: Industria de Material Belico do Brasil (IMBEL) - Product focus
Table 27: Industria de Material Belico do Brasil (IMBEL) - Alliances
Table 28: Industria de Material Belico do Brasil (IMBEL) - Recent Contract Wins
Table 29: Aeroelectronica - Product focus
Table 30: Aeroelectronica - Alliances
Table 31: Aeroelectronica - Recent Contract Wins
Table 32: Indústria Naval do Ceará - Product focus
Table 33: Indústria Naval do Ceará - Recent Contract Wins
Table 34: Northrop Grumman - Product focus
Table 35: Northrop Grumman - Alliances
Table 36: Northrop Grumman - Recent Contract Wins
Table 37: EADS Brazil - Product focus
Table 38: EADS Brazil - Alliances
Table 39: EADS Brazil - Recent Contract Wins
Table 40: Lockheed Martin - Product focus
Table 41: Lockheed Martin - Alliances
Table 42: Lockheed Martin - Recent Contract Wins
List of FiguresFigure 1: Brazilian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2008-2012 Figure 2: Brazilian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2013-2017 Figure 3: Brazilian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2008-2012 Figure 4: Brazilian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2013-2017 Figure 5: Brazilian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2008-2012 Figure 6: Brazilian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2013-2017 Figure 7: Brazilian Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2008-2012 Figure 8: Brazilian Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2013-2017 Figure 9: Brazilian Defense Capital Expenditure Breakdown (US$ billion), 2008-2012 Figure 10: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2011 Figure 11: SDI Terrorism Index, 2011 Figure 12: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2007-2011 vs. 2012-2016 Figure 13: Defense Expenditure of the World's Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2011 and 2016 Figure 14: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2011 Figure 15: Brazilian Defense Import Trend, 2007-2011 (TIV values) Figure 16: Brazilian Defense Imports by Country (%), 2007-2011 Figure 17: Brazilian Defense Imports by Category (%), 2007-2011 Figure 18: Brazilian Defense Exports By Value (%), 2007-2011 Figure 19: Brazilian Defense exports by Country (%), 2007-2011 Figure 20: Brazilian Defense Imports by Category (%), 2007-2011 Figure 21: Industry Dynamics - Porter's Five Forces Analysis Figure 22: Embraer - Revenue Trend Analysis (R$ Million), 2007-2011 Figure 23: Embraer - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (R$ Million), 2007-2011 Figure 24: Embraer - Net Profit Trend Analysis (R$ Million), 2007-2011 Figure 25: Forjas Taurus SA - Revenue Trend Analysis (R$ Million), 2007-2011 Figure 26: Forjas Taurus SA - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (R$ Million), 2007-2011 Figure 27: Forjas Taurus SA - Net Profit Trend Analysis (R$ Million), 2007-2011 Figure 28: Industria de Material Belico do Brasil (IMBEL) - Revenue Trend Analysis (R$ Million), 2007-2011 Figure 29: Industria de Material Belico do Brasil (IMBEL) - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (R$ Million), 2007-2011 Figure 30: Industria de Material Belico do Brasil (IMBEL) - Net Profit Trend Analysis (R$ Million), 2007-2011 Figure 31: Brazilian Population - Female (In Millions), 2008-2017 Figure 32: Brazilian Population - Male (In Millions), 2008-2017 Figure 33: Brazilian Construction Output, Current Prices, Local Currency (In Billions), 2001-2010 Figure 34: Brazilian Construction Output, Current Prices, US Dollars (In Billions), 2001-2010 Figure 35: Brazilian Current Account Balance as Percentage of GDP, 2008-2017 Figure 36: Brazilian Debt-Service Ratio, 2001-2010 Figure 37: Brazilian Deposit Interest Rate, 2001-2010 Figure 38: Brazilian Exports of goods and services, current prices (US$ Billion), 2001- 2010 Figure 39: Brazilian External Debt as Percentage of GDP (%), 2001- 2010 Figure 40: Brazilian Fiscal Balance as a percentage of GDP, 2001-2010 Figure 41: Brazilian Foreign Direct Investment (US$ Billion), 2001-2010 Figure 42: Brazilian GDP at Purchasing Power Parity (US$ Billion), 2006-2015 Figure 43: Brazilian GDP at Constant Prices (Brazilian Real Billion), 2006-2015 Figure 44: Brazilian GDP at Constant Prices (US$ Billion), 2006-2015 Figure 45: Brazilian GDP at Current Prices (Brazilian Real Billion), 2006-2015 Figure 46: Brazilian GDP at Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2006-2015 Figure 47: Brazilian General Government Final Consumption Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2001-2010 Figure 48: Brazilian Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2001-2010 Figure 49: Brazilian Imports of goods and services (current US$ Billion), 2001-2010 Figure 50: Brazilian Inflation, average consumer prices, 2008-2017 Figure 51: Brazilian Interest Rate Lending, 2001-2010 Figure 52: Brazilian Manufacturing Output, Current Prices (Brazilian Real Billion), 2001-2010 Figure 53: Brazilian Manufacturing Output, Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2001-2010 Figure 54: Brazilian Market cap of Stock Exchange (US$ Million), 2001-2010 Figure 55: Brazilian US$- Exchange Rate (Annual Average), 2002-2011 Figure 56: Brazilian US$- Exchange Rate (EoP), 2002-2011 Figure 57: Brazilian Wholesale Price Index, 2000-2009 Figure 58: Brazilian Crude Oil Distillation Capacity (Thousand Barrels Per Cal Day), 2000-2009 Figure 59: Brazilian Electricity Exports (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2001-2010 Figure 60: Brazilian Imports (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2001-2010 Figure 61: Brazilian Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatts), 2000-2009 Figure 62: Brazilian Fossil Fuels Proved Natural Gas Reserves (Trillion Cubic Feet), 2002-2011 Figure 63: Brazilian Fossil Fuels Proved Oil Reserves (Billion Barrels), 2002-2011 Figure 64: Brazilian Hydroelectricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatts), 2000-2009 Figure 65: Brazilian Natural Gas Consumption (Million Cubic Feet), 2001-2010 Figure 66: Brazilian Natural Gas Imports (Billion Cubic Feet), 2001-2010 Figure 67: Brazilian Natural Gas Production (Billion Cubic Feet), 2001-2010 Figure 68: Brazilian Net Conventional Thermal Electricity Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2001-2010 Figure 69: Brazilian Net Geothermal, Solar, Wind, and Wood Electric Power Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2001-2010 Figure 70: Brazilian Net Hydroelectric Power Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2001-2010 Figure 71: Brazilian Nuclear Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2001-2010 Figure 72: Brazilian Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day), 2002-2011 Figure 73: Brazilian Petroleum Production (Thousand Barrels Per Day), 2002-2011 Figure 74: Brazilian People Employed in R and D (Number of researchers per million people), 2000-2009 Figure 75: Brazilian Coal Consumption (Thousand Short Tons), 2001-2010 Figure 76: Brazilian Coal Production (Thousand Short Tons), 2001-2010 Figure 77: Brazilian Political Stability Index, 2002-2010 Figure 78: Brazilian Transparency Index, 2002-2011 Figure 79: Brazilian Fixed Broadband Internet Subscribers (Thousands), 2001-2010 Figure 80: Gross Domestic Expenditure on Research and Development as % of GDP, 2000-2008 Figure 81: Patents Granted, 2002-2011 Figure 82: Software Patents, 2002-2011
Companies Mentioned
Empresa Brasileira de Aeronautica SA (Embraer), ForjasTauras SA, Avibras Industria Aerospacial (Avibras), Companhia Brasileira de Cartuchos, Helibras, Industria de Material Belico do Brasil (IMBEL), Aeroelectronica, Indústria Naval do Ceará (INACE), Northrop Grumman Corporation (Northrop Grumman), European Aeronautic, Defense and Space Co (EADS), Lockheed Martin Corporation (Lockheed Martin)
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