Support of Elena Kagan Hurt Swing Senators' Re-Election Bids
WASHINGTON, July 19 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ -- Today the Judicial Crisis Network (www.judicialnetwork.com) released results of three surveys of likely voters in the swing states of Arkansas, Wisconsin and Nebraska which reveal significant opposition to President Obama's Supreme Court nominee Elena Kagan. The survey results also show that opposition to Kagan grows as voters learn more about her and voters are likely bring their opposition to Kagan into the voting booth in United States Senate elections.
"Senators need to understand that their constituents equate a vote for Elena Kagan as support for all of Obama's radical liberal agenda," said Gary Marx, Executive Director of The Judicial Crisis Network.
"As voters learn more about nominee Kagan's lack of judicial experience, her treatment of the military at Harvard and that she will likely rubberstamp Obama's healthcare plan, opposition to her nomination jumps by more than 10 points in each state," said Carrie Severino, Policy Director of The Judicial Crisis Network.
Poll results:
Thinking now about President Obama's US Supreme Court nominee, Elena Kagan. Based on what you know, do you support or oppose her nomination to the US Supreme Court?
AR |
NE |
WI |
||
SUPPORT |
27.9% |
33.3% |
40.6% |
|
OPPOSE |
54.0% |
48.2% |
43.2% |
|
UNSURE/NO OPINION |
18.1% |
18.5% |
16.2% |
|
Now I am going to read you several statements regarding Elena Kagan's record. After hearing each statement tell me if you are more likely to support or less likely to support her nomination to the US Supreme Court.
Elena Kagan has no judicial experience.
AR |
NE |
WI |
||
MORE LIKELY |
18.4% |
18.9% |
27.1% |
|
LESS LIKELY |
64.1% |
60.0% |
53.7% |
|
NO DIFFERENCE |
17.5% |
21.1% |
19.2% |
|
If confirmed, Elena Kagan is likely to rule in favor of President Obama's health care bill.
AR |
NE |
WI |
||
MORE LIKELY |
23.6% |
26.8% |
36.9% |
|
LESS LIKELY |
68.6% |
63.2% |
52.3% |
|
NO DIFFERENCE |
7.8% |
10.0% |
10.9% |
|
The National Rifle Association is actively opposing Elena Kagan's nomination.
AR |
NE |
WI |
||
MORE LIKELY |
21.2% |
25.3% |
31.8% |
|
LESS LIKELY |
65.5% |
54.2% |
48.7% |
|
NO DIFFERENCE |
13.3% |
20.5% |
19.5% |
|
As Dean of Harvard Law School, Elena Kagan banned military recruiters from campus.
AR |
NE |
WI |
||
MORE LIKELY |
15.8% |
18.6% |
24.3% |
|
LESS LIKELY |
69.8% |
62.2% |
55.3% |
|
NO DIFFERENCE |
14.4% |
19.2% |
20.4% |
|
Now that you have heard some more information about Presidents Obama's US Supreme Court nominee, Elena Kagan, do you support or oppose her nomination?
AR |
NE |
WI |
||
SUPPORT |
24.9% |
31.4% |
37.5% |
|
OPPOSE |
64.8% |
60.2% |
51.0% |
|
UNSURE/NO OPINION |
10.3% |
8.4% |
11.4% |
|
And if US Senator Blanche Lincoln were to support the nomination of Elena Kagan to the US Supreme Court, would you be more likely or less likely to reelect her ?
MORE LIKELY |
21.8% |
|
LESS LIKELY |
49.4% |
|
MAKES NODIFFERENCE |
28.8% |
|
And though the election is not until 2012, if the election for US Senate was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Ben Nelson, Democrat or Dave Heineman, Republican?
NELSON |
27.9% |
|
HEINEMAN |
57.5% |
|
UNDECIDED |
14.6% |
|
And if US Senator Russ Feingold were to support the nomination of Elena Kagan to the US Supreme Court, would you be more likely or less likely to reelect her ?
MORE LIKELY |
32.2% |
|
LESS LIKELY |
47.7% |
|
NO DIFFERENCE |
20.1% |
|
Survey Methodology - www.magellanstrategies.com
Wisconsin: This survey was conducted using automated telephone touch tone technology. The sample for this survey was randomly drawn from the Wisconsin voter file. The responses were weighted to reflect the voting demographics from the 2008, 2006, 2004 and 2002 election cycles. The 1,145 interviews were conducted Monday night, July 12th from 6 to 8 pm. This survey has a margin of error of +/-2.9% at the 95 percent confidence interval.
Nebraska: This survey was conducted using automated telephone touch tone technology. The sample for this survey was randomly drawn from the Nebraska voter file. The responses were weighted to reflect the voting demographics from the 2008, 2006, 2004 and 2002 election cycles. The 855 interviews were conducted Monday night, July 12th from 6 to 8 pm. This survey has a margin of error of +/-3.4% at the 95 percent confidence interval.
Arkansas: This survey was conducted using automated telephone touch tone technology. The sample for this survey was randomly drawn from an Arkansas voter file. The responses were weighted to reflect the voting demographics from the 2008, 2006, 2004 and 2002 election cycles. The 897 interviews were conducted Monday night, July 12th from 6 to 8 pm. This survey has a margin of error of +/-3.3% at the 95 percent confidence interval.
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SOURCE Judicial Crisis Network
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