Platts JKM™ for February-Delivered LNG Falls to Four-Year Low

SINGAPORE, Jan. 19, 2015 /PRNewswire/ -- Prices of spot liquefied natural gas (LNG) for February delivery to Asia plunged to a four-year low, averaging $9.911 per million British thermal units (/MMBtu), according to latest Platts Japan/Korea Marker (Platts JKM™) data for month-ahead delivery.  The figure reflects the daily Platts JKM assessed between December 16 and January 15, expressed as a monthly average.

The February JKM average registered a 47.3% year over year drop, the largest on record since Platts began assessing the JKM in February 2009. The JKM reached levels not seen since February 2011, when it averaged $9.854/MMBtu.

On a month-over-month basis, the marker was down 1.5%, with the market tipping from contango* into backwardation towards the end of the month as pressure from unsold cargoes and low demand began to build.

"The JKM has dropped to levels we haven't seen since pre-Fukushima," said Stephanie Wilson, managing editor of Asia LNG at Platts, a leading global energy, petrochemicals and metals information provider and a premier source of benchmark price references. "This is due to a relatively mild winter across much of the northern hemisphere; reduced power consumption from various industrial users in northeast Asia; and users switching fuels, as commodity prices across the board have fallen."

With Asian buyers still holding high LNG inventories, many of the larger Japanese, South Korean and Chinese buyers were absent from the spot market for February cargoes. In contrast, the market has seen an increase in supply from projects in Russia and Australian, in addition to those cargoes on offer from projects in the Atlantic basin.  

"Continued declines in the crude oil markets are also starting to impact LNG term contract prices; we may start to see this from April onwards, which could cap LNG spot prices over the summer," Wilson added.

The majority of Asian LNG term contracts are indexed to the Japanese Customs-cleared Crude (JCC) price, which continues to fall in line with ICE Brent futures.

Although the losses on the JKM have been significant, competing fuels remain more attractive. The Platts FOB Qinhuangdao coal price averaged $3.665/MMBtu over December 16-January 15, falling 18.1% year over year and increasing 1.6% month over month. Platts FOB Singapore 180 CST fuel oil averaged $7.761/MMBtu over the same period, down 51.0% year over year and 26.6% month over month.

The Platts JKM™ is an assessment of LNG prices for spot cargoes delivered to Japan and South Korea, based on the most recent trades and/or bids and offers from buyers and sellers in the open market prevailing at the close of the trading day. The monthly JKM assessments are month-ahead delivered prices and are an average of the daily JKM price assessments reported by Platts. The monthly reports on Asia LNG prices and market developments are typically published shortly after the 15^th of each month.

* Contango is the condition whereby prices for nearby delivery are lower than prices for future-month delivery. Backwardation is the opposite of contango.

About Platts: Founded in 1909, Platts is a leading global provider of energy, petrochemicals, metals and agriculture information and a premier source of benchmark prices for the physical and futures markets. Platts' news, pricing, analytics, commentary and conferences help customers make better-informed trading and business decisions and help the markets operate with greater transparency and efficiency. Customers in more than 150 countries benefit from Platts' coverage of the biofuels, carbon emissions, coal, electricity, oil, natural gas, metals, nuclear power, petrochemical, shipping and sugar markets. A division of McGraw Hill Financial (NYSE: MHFI), Platts is based in London with more than 1000 employees in more than 15 offices worldwide. Additional information is available at www.platts.com.

About McGraw Hill Financial: McGraw Hill Financial  (NYSE: MHFI) is a leading financial intelligence company providing the global capital and commodity markets with independent benchmarks, credit ratings, portfolio and enterprise risk solutions, and analytics. The Company's iconic brands include: Standard & Poor's Ratings Services, S&P Capital IQ, S&P Dow Jones Indices, Platts, CRISIL and J.D. Power. The Company has approximately 17,000 employees in 30 countries. Additional information is available at www.mhfi.com.

SOURCE Platts

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