NEW YORK, Feb. 28, 2011 /PRNewswire/ -- Looking ahead, President Obama most likely sees many battles forthcoming. There's the current budget showdown which has the potential to lead to a government shutdown. There is the labor issue and all eyes are watching to see how the White House responds to what is happening in Wisconsin. And then there is his own electoral battle, albeit 20 months from now, but still on the horizon.
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Going into these battles, almost three in five Americans (58%) have a negative opinion of the job the President is doing while 42% have a positive opinion of it. This is slightly down from last month when 44% of U.S. adults gave the job the President was doing positive marks and 56% gave it negative ratings.
These are some of the results of The Harris Poll of 3,171 adults surveyed online between February 14 and 21, 2011 by Harris Interactive.
Partisanship definitely exists in looking at President Obama's job approval ratings. Nine in ten Republicans (90%) give the President poor ratings while almost three-quarters (73%) of Democrats give him positive marks and Independents are more negative than positive with 60% giving the President negative marks and 40% positive. What is interesting is the depth of support among Republicans and Democrats. Almost six in ten Republicans (57%) give President Obama a rating of poor, the worst on the scale. Among Democrats, just one in five (22%) give the President a rating of excellent, while half (50%) say he is doing a pretty good job.
There is also a large regional divide. Just three in ten Southerners (31%) give President Obama positive ratings as do 42% of Midwesterners. Westerners are very split as 49% give the President positive ratings while 51% give him negative marks. The President's strongest ratings come from the East where over half (54%) give him positive ratings on the job he is doing.
It is almost two months into the new Congress and yet they are not faring much better than the previous Congress did in terms of their ratings. Over four in five Americans (86%) rate the overall job Congress is doing negatively while just 14% give Congress positive ratings. Last month, 84% of U.S. adults gave them negative marks while 16% positive ratings.
It's not just Congress and the President who are mired in negative ratings, the direction of the country is as well. Almost two-thirds of Americans (64%) say things in the country are going off on the wrong track, almost the same as last month (63%). Over one-third of U.S. adults (36%) say things are going in the right direction; 37% said this last month.
So What?
Americans may be hearing that things are getting better and they can see the stock market has had a nice run, but this hasn't translated into better job ratings for President Obama or for Congress. And, if turmoil in the Middle East continues and impacts gas prices for the summer driving season, expect these numbers to move down, not up. That's something the White House definitely does not want to see one year before the presidential election.
TABLE 1 PRESIDENT OBAMA'S JOB RATING - TREND "How would you rate the overall job President Barack Obama is doing?" Base: All adults |
||||||||||
2009 |
||||||||||
Mar |
April |
May |
June |
Aug |
Sept |
Oct |
Nov |
Dec |
||
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
||
POSITIVE |
55 |
58 |
59 |
54 |
51 |
49 |
45 |
43 |
41 |
|
Excellent |
17 |
18 |
17 |
14 |
11 |
11 |
10 |
9 |
7 |
|
Pretty good |
38 |
40 |
42 |
39 |
39 |
38 |
35 |
33 |
33 |
|
NEGATIVE |
45 |
42 |
41 |
46 |
49 |
51 |
55 |
57 |
59 |
|
Only fair |
27 |
26 |
25 |
25 |
25 |
25 |
27 |
29 |
30 |
|
Poor |
18 |
15 |
16 |
21 |
24 |
26 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
|
2010 |
2011 |
||||||||||||
Jan |
Mar |
April |
May |
June |
Aug |
Sept |
Oct |
Nov |
Dec |
Jan |
Feb |
||
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
||
POSITIVE |
40 |
41 |
41 |
42 |
39 |
40 |
38 |
37 |
38 |
36 |
44 |
42 |
|
Excellent |
9 |
9 |
9 |
10 |
6 |
9 |
9 |
8 |
8 |
7 |
10 |
11 |
|
Pretty good |
31 |
32 |
31 |
32 |
33 |
31 |
29 |
29 |
30 |
28 |
34 |
32 |
|
NEGATIVE |
60 |
59 |
59 |
58 |
61 |
60 |
62 |
63 |
62 |
64 |
56 |
58 |
|
Only fair |
30 |
28 |
26 |
28 |
29 |
26 |
28 |
30 |
29 |
31 |
28 |
29 |
|
Poor |
30 |
31 |
33 |
30 |
32 |
34 |
34 |
33 |
33 |
34 |
29 |
29 |
|
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding |
|||||||||||||
TABLE 2 PRESIDENT OBAMA'S JOB RATING – BY PARTY & IDEOLOGY "How would you rate the overall job President Barack Obama is doing?" Base: All adults |
||||||||
Total |
Political party |
Political Philosophy |
||||||
Rep. |
Dem. |
Ind. |
Cons. |
Mod. |
Lib. |
|||
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
||
POSITIVE |
42 |
10 |
73 |
40 |
13 |
45 |
75 |
|
Excellent |
11 |
3 |
22 |
6 |
3 |
8 |
29 |
|
Pretty good |
32 |
6 |
50 |
34 |
10 |
37 |
46 |
|
NEGATIVE |
58 |
90 |
27 |
60 |
87 |
55 |
25 |
|
Only fair |
29 |
33 |
21 |
31 |
26 |
35 |
17 |
|
Poor |
29 |
57 |
6 |
30 |
61 |
20 |
7 |
|
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding |
||||||||
TABLE 3 PRESIDENT OBAMA'S JOB RATING – BY REGION, EDUCATION & GENDER "How would you rate the overall job Base: All adults |
||||||||||||
Total |
Region |
Education |
Gender |
|||||||||
East |
Midwest |
South |
West |
H.S. or less |
Some college |
College grad |
Post grad |
Men |
Women |
|||
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
||
POSITIVE |
42 |
54 |
42 |
31 |
49 |
36 |
43 |
48 |
62 |
42 |
43 |
|
Excellent |
11 |
19 |
9 |
6 |
12 |
12 |
8 |
10 |
17 |
14 |
8 |
|
Pretty good |
32 |
35 |
33 |
25 |
37 |
24 |
35 |
37 |
45 |
28 |
35 |
|
NEGATIVE |
58 |
46 |
58 |
69 |
51 |
64 |
57 |
52 |
38 |
58 |
57 |
|
Only fair |
29 |
28 |
31 |
30 |
25 |
30 |
28 |
30 |
19 |
25 |
31 |
|
Poor |
29 |
18 |
27 |
39 |
27 |
34 |
29 |
22 |
19 |
32 |
26 |
|
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding |
||||||||||||
TABLE 4 CONGRESS' OVERALL JOB RATING "How would you rate the overall job Congress is doing?" Base: All adults |
|||||
Total |
Political Party |
||||
Rep. |
Dem. |
Ind. |
|||
% |
% |
% |
% |
||
POSITIVE |
14 |
10 |
22 |
9 |
|
Excellent |
4 |
3 |
8 |
1 |
|
Pretty good |
10 |
6 |
14 |
8 |
|
NEGATIVE |
86 |
90 |
78 |
91 |
|
Only fair |
47 |
47 |
48 |
46 |
|
Poor |
39 |
43 |
30 |
45 |
|
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding |
|||||
TABLE 5 CONGRESS' OVERALL JOB RATING – TREND "How would you rate the overall job the Congress is doing?" Base: All adults |
||||
TREND |
Positive* |
Negative** |
||
% |
% |
|||
2011 |
February |
14 |
86 |
|
January |
16 |
84 |
||
2010 |
December |
11 |
89 |
|
November |
13 |
87 |
||
October |
11 |
89 |
||
September |
13 |
87 |
||
August |
15 |
85 |
||
June |
14 |
86 |
||
May |
15 |
85 |
||
April |
16 |
84 |
||
March |
10 |
90 |
||
Jan. |
16 |
84 |
||
2009 |
Dec. |
17 |
83 |
|
Oct. |
16 |
84 |
||
Sept. |
19 |
81 |
||
Aug. |
22 |
78 |
||
June |
25 |
75 |
||
March |
29 |
71 |
||
2008 |
October |
10 |
86 |
|
August |
18 |
77 |
||
June |
13 |
83 |
||
February |
20 |
76 |
||
2007 |
December |
17 |
79 |
|
October |
20 |
77 |
||
April |
27 |
69 |
||
February |
33 |
62 |
||
2006 |
September |
24 |
73 |
|
May |
18 |
80 |
||
February |
25 |
71 |
||
January |
25 |
72 |
||
*Positive = excellent or pretty good. **Negative = only fair or poor. Note: Prior to March, 2009, this question was asked by telephone. |
||||
TABLE 6 RIGHT DIRECTION OR WRONG TRACK "Generally speaking, would you say things in the country are going in the right direction or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track?" Base: All adults |
||||
TREND |
Right Direction |
Wrong Track |
||
% |
% |
|||
2011 |
February |
36 |
64 |
|
January |
37 |
63 |
||
2010 |
December |
29 |
71 |
|
November |
33 |
67 |
||
October |
34 |
66 |
||
September |
36 |
64 |
||
April |
39 |
61 |
||
March |
33 |
67 |
||
2009 |
August |
46 |
54 |
|
January |
19 |
72 |
||
2008 |
October |
11 |
83 |
|
February |
23 |
69 |
||
2007 |
December |
18 |
74 |
|
February |
29 |
62 |
||
2006 |
May |
24 |
69 |
|
February |
32 |
59 |
||
2005 |
November |
27 |
68 |
|
January |
46 |
48 |
||
2004 |
September |
38 |
57 |
|
June |
35 |
59 |
||
2003 |
December |
35 |
57 |
|
June |
44 |
51 |
||
2002 |
December |
36 |
57 |
|
June |
46 |
48 |
||
2001 |
December |
65 |
32 |
|
June |
43 |
52 |
||
2000 |
October |
50 |
41 |
|
June |
40 |
51 |
||
1999 |
June |
37 |
55 |
|
March |
47 |
45 |
||
1998 |
December |
43 |
51 |
|
June |
48 |
44 |
||
1997 |
December |
39 |
56 |
|
April |
36 |
55 |
||
1996 |
December |
38 |
50 |
|
June |
29 |
64 |
||
1995 |
December |
26 |
62 |
|
June |
24 |
65 |
||
1994 |
December |
29 |
63 |
|
June |
28 |
65 |
||
1993 |
June |
21 |
70 |
|
March |
39 |
50 |
||
1992 |
June |
12 |
81 |
|
January |
20 |
75 |
||
1991 |
December |
17 |
75 |
|
January |
58 |
32 |
||
Note: Prior to March, 2009 this question was asked via telephone |
||||
Methodology
This Harris Poll was conducted online within the United States between February 14 to 21, 2011 among 3,171 adults (aged 18 and over). Figures for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, region and household income were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents' propensity to be online.
All sample surveys and polls, whether or not they use probability sampling, are subject to multiple sources of error which are most often not possible to quantify or estimate, including sampling error, coverage error, error associated with nonresponse, error associated with question wording and response options, and post-survey weighting and adjustments. Therefore, Harris Interactive avoids the words "margin of error" as they are misleading. All that can be calculated are different possible sampling errors with different probabilities for pure, unweighted, random samples with 100% response rates. These are only theoretical because no published polls come close to this ideal.
Respondents for this survey were selected from among those who have agreed to participate in Harris Interactive surveys. The data have been weighted to reflect the composition of the adult population. Because the sample is based on those who agreed to participate in the Harris Interactive panel, no estimates of theoretical sampling error can be calculated.
These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.
The results of this Harris Poll may not be used in advertising, marketing or promotion without the prior written permission of Harris Interactive.
J39370
Q1205, 1210, 1215
The Harris Poll® #26, February 28, 2011
By Regina A. Corso, SVP, Harris Poll, Public Relations and Youth Research, Harris Interactive
About Harris Interactive
Harris Interactive is one of the world's leading custom market research firms, leveraging research, technology, and business acumen to transform relevant insight into actionable foresight. Known widely for the Harris Poll and for pioneering innovative research methodologies, Harris offers expertise in a wide range of industries including healthcare, technology, public affairs, energy, telecommunications, financial services, insurance, media, retail, restaurant, and consumer package goods. Serving clients in over 215 countries and territories through our North American, European, and Asian offices and a network of independent market research firms, Harris specializes in delivering research solutions that help us – and our clients – stay ahead of what's next. For more information, please visit www.harrisinteractive.com.
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SOURCE Harris Interactive
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